Boston Red Sox at Houston Astros Betting Preview/Prop Picks

02 August 2022

Two teams carving out positions for themselves in the American League face off tonight. The Boston Red Sox, with a record of 52-52, beat Houston 3-2 last night.

Now that they’ve had a taste of the Astros, they’ll look to take them down again tonight. The question is whether or not Kutter Crawford and the rest of the Red Sox can pull it off. Beating the Astros isn’t easy.

The Houston Astros have a record of 67-37 this season with a 33-16 record at home. Although they suffered a loss yesterday, they still rank at the top of the AL West. Down 0-1, the Astros will need to pull it together in Game 2 of this series.

They have a sizable lead over the Seattle Mariners but don’t want to put their lead in jeopardy. So, who’s the best bet to win this one?



Houston Astros -198

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Boston Red Sox: Kutter Crawford could cause trouble

When you’re playing the Houston Astros, you need incredible pitching. Unfortunately for the Red Sox, Kutter Crawford doesn’t provide that. This season Crawford has a 2-3 record with an ERA of 4.15 over the span of 47.2 innings.

He’s thrown 50 strikeouts during that time which is great, but he’s also given up 42 hits. Going against Houston’s batters could be a problem for him.

The good news for the Red Sox is they have some incredible hitters. Guys such as Rafael Devers, who leads the team in batting average (.324) and home runs (22). With Devers out there, they have a chance at driving in a few runs early.

The faster they can get started against the Astros, the better. Overall, the Red Sox have the sixth-best batting average at .254.

Houston Astros: Great batting and pitching are needed tonight

For Houston, they’ll need to have some strong batting to kick off today’s game. With Crawford on the mound for the Red Sox, they should do pretty well.

As a team, the Astros have a batting average of .239, ranking 20th in the league. Leading the team is Yordan Alvarez, with a .308 batting average, and he’s hit 30 home runs. They’ll need all they can get from him tonight.

On the mound tonight is Cristian Javier, which is really where the Astros get an edge. This season, Javier has a record of 6-6 with a 3.26 ERA. Over the span of 88.1 innings, he’s thrown an impressive 121 strikeouts.

With Javier out there, the Red Sox batters will have a tough time getting ahead. This puts the advantage back in the hands of the Astros to win this one.

Boston Red Sox at Houston Astros Betting Pick

Coming in as -198 favorites, the Houston Astros are favored to win this game. Part of this is due to their impressive record at home of 33-16.

You also have to take into account that the team is 59-27 as a favorite this year. The Astros also have the advantage on the mound by starting Javier. 

Because of this, we’ll take the Astros at -198 in this game. The Red Sox are a good team, but Javier is far better than Kutter Crawford. We’ll pair the under in this game with our Astros pick, considering the total has gone under in four of Boston’s last five games.

DunkelIndex Free Pick: Houston Astros -198, UNDER

Prop Picks

Boston (-135) UNDER 3.5 Runs

Houston is allowing 3.36 runs per 9 innings on defense, which ranks No. 3 in the league. That average drops to 3.24 runs per 9 innings at home. Scores have gone UNDER in nine of Houston’s last 12 home games versus the Red Sox.

With Dunkel predicting a Houston home victory by the score of 4-2, take the Red Sox (-135) to finish UNDER their Vegas team total of 3.5 runs against the Astros.

Houston (-155) Most Hits

Houston is averaging 7.95 hits per 9 innings on offense, which ranks No. 22 in the league. The Astros are allowing 6.87 hits per 9 innings on defense, which ranks No. 1 in the league. That average remains relatively steady at 6.84 hits per 9 innings at home.

With Dunkel predicting an Astros home win while keeping the Red Sox UNDER their Vegas run total, take Houston (-155) to finish with more hits than Boston.

Christian Javier (+115) OVER 7.5 Strikeouts

Javier has recorded 121 strikeouts in 88.1 innings pitched for an average of 12.3 Ks per 9 innings. The Houston right hander has an average of 11.73 strikeouts (64 Ks in 49.1 IP) at home with an OBA of .153.  

With Dunkel predicting the final score staying UNDER the Vegas total, take Javier (-135) to finish OVER 7.5 strikeouts versus the Red Sox.

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