Celtics vs. Warriors Dunkel NBA Picks, Predictions and Odds - March 18

The Boston Celtics (45-23) welcome in the Golden State Warriors (33-35) after winning three home games in a row.

The Celtics square off with the Warriors in a game that Boston is currently a double-digit favorite by 12 points. The matchup's point total is 216.5.

Celtics vs. Warriors Odds and Game Time

• Game day: Wednesday, March 18, 2026
• Game time: 7 p.m. ET
• Location: Boston, Massachusetts
• Arena: TD Garden
• Total: 216.5 points
• Spread: Celtics -12
• Moneyline: Celtics (-599), Warriors (+450)

How to watch Celtics vs. Warriors

• TV Channel: ESPN, NBCS-BOS, NBCS-BA

Betting the Over/Under: Celtics vs. Warriors

• In 41 of 68 games this season, the Celtics and their opponents have combined to total more than 216.5 points.
• The Warriors have played 50 games this season that ended with a combined score higher than 216.5 points.
• These two teams average 229.6 points per game between them, 13.1 more than this game's point total.
• These two teams allow a combined 221.5 points per game, five more points than this matchup's over/under.

Betting the Spread: Celtics vs. Warriors

• Boston has won 39 games against the spread this season, while failing to cover or pushing 29 times.
• When playing as at least 12-point favorites this season, the Celtics have an ATS record of 6-2.
• The Warriors have put together a 30-37-1 record against the spread this year.
• Golden State has covered the spread twice when an underdog by 12 points or more this season (in three opportunities).
• The Celtics are 16-17 against the spread, and 23-10 overall, at home.
• At home, as a 12-point favorite or greater, Boston is 6-2 ATS.
• The Warriors are 16-18 against the spread, and 14-20 overall, in away games.

Betting the Moneyline: Celtics vs. Warriors

• The Celtics have won 36 of the 49 games they were the moneyline favorite this season (73.5%).
• The Warriors have entered the game as underdogs 24 times this season and won eight, or 33.3%, of those games.
• When playing as a moneyline favorite with odds of -599 or shorter, Boston has a record of 6-1 (85.7% win percentage).
• Golden State has not won as an underdog of +450 or more on the moneyline this season in three games with those odds or longer.
• Based on this contest's moneyline, the Celtics' implied win probability is 85.7%.

Dunkel Index Prediction for Celtics vs. Warriors

• Pick ATS: Warriors (+ 12)
• Pick OU: Under (216.5)
  
• Prediction: Celtics 109 - Warriors 101
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NBA Picks!