Boise State vs. UNLV Dunkel NCAA Football MWC Championship Picks, Predictions and Odds - Dec. 5

In this year's MWC Championship Game the Boise State Broncos are the favorites, but by less than a touchdown (-5.5) over the UNLV Rebels. Albertsons Stadium will host the matchup on December 5, 2025, starting at 8 p.m. ET on FOX.

Last time out, the Broncos defeated the Utah State Aggies, with 25-24 being the final score.

The Rebels won against the Nevada Wolf Pack in their most recent game, 42-17.

Boise State vs. UNLV Predictions

Ahead of the upcoming contest between the Boise State Broncos and UNLV Rebels, computer-calculated against-the-spread, over/under, and score predictions are below, sourced from Dunkel Index.

• Pick ATS: Rebels (+ 5.5)
• Pick OU: Over (58.5)
  
• Prediction: Rebels 35 - Broncos 28

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Boise State vs. UNLV Moneylines

Snag a peek below at the most recent moneylines for the Broncos-Rebels matchup.

• Boise State Moneyline: -213
• UNLV Moneyline: +176

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Boise State Betting Insights

• Boise State has won eight of the 10 games it was listed as the moneyline favorite this season (80%).
• When it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -213 or shorter, Boise State has a record of 7-1 (87.5%).
• The Broncos 12 games this season have gone over this contest's total of 58.5 points six times.
• Broncos contests this year have an average point total of 54.8, 3.7 fewer points than this game's over/under.
• The Rebels are college football's 12th-highest scoring team this season compared to the 41st-ranked Broncos.

UNLV Betting Insights

• UNLV has split the two games it has played as underdogs this season.
• UNLV has played as an underdog of +176 or more once this season and lost that game.
• UNLV games this season have had a combined scoring total higher than 58.5 points in seven of 12 outings.
• UNLV's outings this season have a 59.9-point average over/under, 1.4 more points than this game's point total.

Watch Boise State vs. UNLV on Fubo.

Key Stats for Boise State vs. UNLV

• In their past four head-to-head matchups, Boise State has won against UNLV four times.
• In those matchups versus UNLV, the Broncos have covered four times while outpacing the point total on two occasions.
• The Broncos are putting up 430.4 yards per game on offense (27th in the FBS), and they rank 32nd on defense with 330.5 yards allowed per game.
• On offense, Boise State ranks 42nd in the FBS with 30.8 points per game. Meanwhile, the team's defense ranks 55th in points allowed (330.5 points allowed per contest).
• While the Rebels' defense has been stuck in neutral, ranking 19th-worst by conceding 421.5 total yards per game, their offense ranks 15th-best with 463.3 total yards per contest.
• UNLV's defense ranks 89th in the FBS with 28.1 points given up per contest, but it has been carried by its offense, which ranks 12th-best by racking up 37.2 points per game.