Baker Mayfield vs. Falcons - NFL - Player Props, Lines and Trends
10 December 2025
Check out the player props available for Baker Mayfield when he suits up in NFL action on Thursday at 8:15 p.m. ET live on Amazon Prime Video. Mayfield and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (7-6) have a Week 15 matchup with the Atlanta Falcons (4-9) at Raymond James Stadium.
Keep reading for more Dunkel stats, insights and trends.Baker Mayfield Player Props
| Pass Yds Over/Under | Pass Yds Over Payout | Pass TDs Over/Under | Pass TDs Over Payout | Rush Yds Over/Under | Rush Yds Over Payout | Anytime TD Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 217.5 | -113 | 1.5 | -141 | 18.5 | -114 | +550 |
Mayfield Passing Insights
- Compared to his 217.5-yard over/under for this matchup, Mayfield is throwing for fewer yards per game this year (209.4).
- In 13 games this season, Mayfield has topped 217.5 passing yards six times.
- Mayfield has fallen short of his season prop bet average (233.5 passing yards) by 24.1 yards per game.
- Mayfield has topped his passing yards prop total in four games this season, or 30.8%.
- In 12 of 13 games this year, Mayfield completed a touchdown pass -- including multiple TDs six times.
- In five of 13 games this year, Mayfield has thrown an interception, with more than one INT on one occasion.
Mayfield Rushing Insights
- Mayfield's rushing yards prop bet for Thursday is set at 18.5. That is 3.4 fewer yards than his season average (21.9).
- Mayfield has totaled more than 18.5 rushing yards in seven games this season (53.8% of his total appearances).
- The average rushing yards prop bet Mayfield has had set this season (15.7) is below his rushing yard average on the year (21.9).
- Mayfield has gone over his rushing yards total in seven of 13 opportunities (53.8% of his opportunities).
- Mayfield has rushed for a touchdown once this season in 13 games.
Atlanta Falcons Rankings
- Mayfield will square off against the NFL's ninth-ranked pass defense this week. The Falcons give up 191.5 passing yards per game.
- So far this season, the Falcons have conceded 21 passing TDs to opponents, averaging 1.6 per game. That ranks 19th among NFL teams.
- With 10 total interceptions this season, the Falcons' defense ranks 12th in the NFL.
For more expert NFL prop picks and best bets, visit Dunkel Index Best NFL Player Props today.
Last Five Games
| Opponent | Date | Week | Passing Stats | Rushing Stats |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs. Saints | 12/7/2025 | Week 14 | 14-for-30 / 122 YDS / 1 TD / 1 INT | 6 ATT / 42 YDS / 0 TDs |
| vs. Cardinals | 11/30/2025 | Week 13 | 18-for-28 / 194 YDS / 1 TD / 0 INTs | 6 ATT / 27 YDS / 0 TDs |
| vs. Rams | 11/23/2025 | Week 12 | 9-for-19 / 41 YDS / 1 TD / 2 INTs | 4 ATT / 19 YDS / 0 TDs |
| vs. Bills | 11/16/2025 | Week 11 | 16-for-28 / 173 YDS / 1 TD / 1 INT | 5 ATT / 39 YDS / 1 TD |
| vs. Patriots | 11/9/2025 | Week 10 | 28-for-43 / 273 YDS / 3 TDs / 0 INTs | 0 ATT / 0 YDS / 0 TDs |
