Hawks vs. Warriors Dunkel NBA Picks, Predictions and Odds - March 21

The Atlanta Hawks (38-32) will be looking to build on a nine-game home winning run when squaring off against the Golden State Warriors (33-37) on March 21, 2026 at State Farm Arena.

Atlanta is a substantial 11-point favorite against Golden State when the Hawks take on the Warriors on Saturday. The over/under is 229.5 points for the matchup.

Hawks vs. Warriors Odds and Game Time

• Game day: Saturday, March 21, 2026
• Game time: 8 p.m. ET
• Location: Atlanta, Georgia
• Arena: State Farm Arena
• Total: 229.5 points
• Spread: Hawks -11
• Moneyline: Hawks (-521), Warriors (+390)

How to watch Hawks vs. Warriors

• TV Channel: FDSSE, NBCS-BA

Betting the Over/Under: Hawks vs. Warriors

• In 39 games this season, the Hawks and their opponents have gone over 229.5 combined points.
• The Warriors have played 38 games this season that finished with a combined score over 229.5 points.
• The two teams combine to score 232.5 points per game, 3.0 more points than this matchup's total.
• These two teams surrender 231.1 points per game combined, 1.6 more points than the total for this contest.

Betting the Spread: Hawks vs. Warriors

• Atlanta has covered 37 times in 70 chances against the spread this season.
• The Hawks have covered the spread twice when favored by 11 points or more this season (in four opportunities).
• The Warriors have put together a 30-39-1 record against the spread this season.
• Golden State has been an underdog by 11 points or more five times this season, and covered the spread in two of those contests.
• At home this season, the Hawks are 17-18 against the spread and 19-16 overall.
• At home, as a 11-point favorite or greater, Atlanta has two wins ATS (2-1).
• The Warriors are 14-22 overall, and 16-20 against the spread, on the road.
• Golden State is unbeaten ATS (1-0) on the road as 11-point underdogs or more.

Betting the Moneyline: Hawks vs. Warriors

• The Hawks have won 62.9% of the games this season when they were the moneyline favorite (22-13).
• The Warriors have won eight, or 30.8%, of the 26 games they've played as underdogs this season.
• When it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -521 or shorter, Atlanta has gone 3-1 (75% win percentage).
• Golden State has not won as an underdog of +390 or more on the moneyline this season in five games with those odds or longer.
• The implied moneyline probability in this matchup gives the Hawks an 83.9% chance to win.

Dunkel Index Prediction for Hawks vs. Warriors

• Pick ATS: Hawks (- 11)
• Pick OU: Over (229.5)
  
• Prediction: Hawks 128 - Warriors 110
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NBA Picks!