Alabama vs. South Florida Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Dec. 17

The No. 16 Alabama Crimson Tide (7-3) hit the court against the South Florida Bulls (6-4) as 14.5-point favorites on Wednesday, December 17, 2025 at 8 p.m. ET on SEC Network+. The matchup's over/under is set at 181.5.

Their last time out, Alabama lost 96-75 to Arizona on Saturday. In Alabama's loss, Labaron Philon led the way with a team-high 24 points (adding 10 rebounds and five assists). South Florida heads into this matchup following an 81-75 victory over Charleston (SC) on Wednesday. Joseph Pinion's team-leading 21 points paced South Florida in the victory.

Alabama vs. South Florida Odds and Game Time

• When: Wednesday, December 17, 2025 at 8 p.m. ET
• Where: Coleman Coliseum in Tuscaloosa, Alabama
• Spread favorite: Alabama -14.5
• Moneyline favorite: Alabama -1149
• Moneyline underdog: South Florida +730
• Over/Under: 181.5 points

How to watch Alabama vs. South Florida

• TV Channel: SEC Network+
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Alabama vs. South Florida

• Alabama and its opponents have combined to outscore Wednesday's total of 181.5 points just twice this season.
• This season, four games South Florida has played finished with a combined score higher than 181.5 points.
• The total for the contest of 181.5 is 0.2 points fewer than the combined points per game averages for the Crimson Tide (93.1 points per game) and the Bulls (88.6 points per game).
• The 160.5 points per game these two teams allow their opponents to score combined this season are 21.0 less than the 181.5-point over/under in this contest.
• This season the average over/under for Alabama's games is 174.0 points, 7.5 fewer than the over/under of 181.5 set for this contest.
• South Florida's games have an average over/under of 168.2 points this season, 13.3 points lower than the over/under for this contest.

Betting the Spread: Alabama vs. South Florida

• Against the spread, Alabama is 5-5-0 this season.
• This season, the Crimson Tide have two ATS wins in three games as a favorite of 14.5 points or more.
• South Florida has four wins against the spread in 10 games this year.
• Alabama has one win against the spread, and is 3-1 overall, at home this season.
• Alabama has one win ATS (1-1) as a 14.5-point favorite or greater at home.

Betting the Moneyline: Alabama vs. South Florida

• Alabama has been the moneyline favorite in five games this season and won four (80%) of those contests.
• The Crimson Tide are undefeated in three games this season when favored by -1149 or more on the moneyline.
• The bookmakers' moneyline implies a 92% chance of a victory for Alabama.
• South Florida was defeated in both of the games it has played as moneyline underdogs this season.
• This is the worst odds of a win that sportsbooks have given the Bulls this season with a +730 moneyline set for this game.
• South Florida has an implied victory probability of 12% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.