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Aces vs. Sun: Betting Trends, Odds, Records Against the Spread, Predictions - July 6

04 July 2025 By Data Skrive

The Connecticut Sun (2-15) will look to halt a nine-game losing stretch when hosting the Las Vegas Aces (8-9) on Sunday, July 6, 2025 at Mohegan Sun Arena. This contest is at 4 p.m. ET on Vegas 34 and NBCS-BOS.

Last time out, Las Vegas fell short of victory by a final score of 81-54 versus Indiana. The Aces were led by A'ja Wilson's 29 points and Jackie Young's six points.

In its previous game, Connecticut fell on the road to Minnesota 102-63, with Aneesah Morrow (16 PTS, 11 REB, 5 STL, 35.7 FG%) and Olivia Nelson-Ododa (10 PTS, 50 FG%) leading the way.

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Aces vs. Sun Betting Lines

Take a peek below at the most recent betting lines for the Aces-Sun matchup.

  • Favorite: Aces (-17)
  • Total: 157
  • Aces Moneyline: -3030
  • Sun Moneyline: +1120

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Aces Betting Insights

  • Based on this contest's moneyline, the Aces have an implied win probability of 96.8%.
  • Las Vegas has been favored on the moneyline 11 times this season. They've finished 6-5 in those games.
  • The Aces have compiled a 6-11-0 record against the spread this season.
  • Las Vegas and its opponents have scored more than 157 points in 10 of 17 games this season.
  • The average point total in Aces matchups this year is 164.4, 7.4 more points than this game's over/under.

Sun Betting Insights

  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 8.2% chance of a victory for the Sun.
  • This season, Connecticut has been the underdog 16 times and won two of those games.
  • The Sun have won seven games against the spread this season, while failing to cover 10 times.
  • Connecticut has played 10 games this season that ended with a combined score higher than 157 points.
  • The Sun's average game total this season has been 159.4, 2.4 more points than this matchup's over/under.

Key Stats for Aces vs. Sun

  • The 79.3 points per game Las Vegas records are 9.5 fewer points than Connecticut allows (88.8).
  • The Aces are 2-1 when scoring more than 88.8 points.
  • So far in the 2025 season, Las Vegas is scoring 10.4 more points per home game than on the road (84.2 at home, 73.8 on the road), but is giving up 0.8 fewer points per home game compared to road games (81.6 at home, 82.4 on the road).
  • Connecticut's 71.1 points per game are 10.8 fewer points than the 81.9 Las Vegas allows.
  • When they score more than 81.9 points, the Sun are 2-3.
  • At home, Connecticut averages 77.4 points per game, 10.8 more than away (66.6). Defensively, it allows 87 points per game at home, 3.1 fewer than on the road (90.1).

All Media on this page by Associated Press.

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