Aces vs. Mercury: Betting Trends, Odds, Records Against the Spread, Predictions - May 9

The Phoenix Mercury go up against the Las Vegas Aces at T-Mobile Arena on Saturday, May 9, 2026. The game, the first of the 2026 season for both teams, begins at 3:30 p.m. ET on ABC and Disney+.

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Aces vs. Mercury Betting Lines

Take a look below at the most recent betting lines for the Aces-Mercury matchup.

• Favorite: Aces (-8.5)
• Total: 167.5
• Aces Moneyline: -355
• Mercury Moneyline: +270

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Aces Betting Insights (2025 Stats)

• Based on this matchup's moneyline, the Aces' implied win probability is 78.0%.
• Las Vegas won 33 of the 42 games it was favored on the moneyline last season (78.6%).
• The Aces won 31 games against the spread last season, while failing to cover 25 times.
• Las Vegas and its opponents went over 167.5 combined points in 29 of 56 games last season.
• The Aces had an average point total of 163.9 in their outings last season, 3.6 fewer points than this game's over/under.

Mercury Betting Insights (2025 Stats)

• The oddsmakers' moneyline implies a 27.0% chance of a victory for the Mercury.
• Phoenix was an underdog 21 times last season and won nine, or 42.9%, of those games.
• The Mercury won 28 games against the spread last year, while failing to cover 27 times.
• Phoenix's games last season had a combined scoring total higher than 167.5 points 21 of 55 times.
• Mercury matchups last year had a 163.0-point average over/under, 4.5 fewer points than this game's point total.

Key Stats for Aces vs. Mercury

• Last year, the 83.6 points per game Las Vegas recorded were just 3.5 more points than Phoenix gave up (80.1).
• The Aces had a 24-4 record last season when putting up more than 80.1 points.
• Las Vegas scored 86.7 points per game when playing at home last year. In road games, it averaged 80.6 points per contest.
• Phoenix's 82.8 points per game last year were just 2.1 more points than the 80.7 Las Vegas allowed to opponents.
• When they scored more than 80.7 points last season, the Mercury went 21-6.
• At home, Phoenix put up 83.8 points per game last season, two more than it averaged on the road (81.8).

All Media on this page by Associated Press.