Aces vs. Mercury: Betting Trends, Odds, Records Against the Spread, Predictions - May 9

The Las Vegas Aces take on the Phoenix Mercury on Saturday, May 9, 2026 at 3:30 p.m. ET in the season opener for both teams. The matchup airs on ABC and Disney+.

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Aces vs. Mercury Betting Lines

Grab a look below at the most up-to-date betting lines for the Aces-Mercury game.

• Favorite: Aces (-9.5)
• Total: 167.5
• Aces Moneyline: -481
• Mercury Moneyline: +350

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Aces Betting Insights (2025 Stats)

• The implied moneyline probability for this matchup gives the Aces an 82.8% chance to win.
• Las Vegas won 78.6% of the games last season it was the moneyline favorite (33-9).
• The Aces went 31-25-0 ATS last season.
• Las Vegas and its opponents went over 167.5 combined points in 29 of 56 games last season.
• The average total in Aces contests last season was 163.9, 3.6 fewer points than this game's over/under.

Mercury Betting Insights (2025 Stats)

• The sportsbooks' moneyline implies a 22.2% chance of a victory for the Mercury.
• Phoenix was an underdog 21 times last season and won nine, or 42.9%, of those games.
• The Mercury covered 28 times in 55 matchups with a spread last season.
• Phoenix played 21 games last season that had more than 167.5 combined points scored.
• The Mercury had a 163.0-point average over/under in their outings last year, 4.5 fewer points than this game's point total.

Key Stats for Aces vs. Mercury

• Last year, the 83.6 points per game Las Vegas scored were only 3.5 more points than Phoenix allowed (80.1).
• The Aces went 24-4 last season when scoring more than 80.1 points.
• Las Vegas averaged 86.7 points per game last season in home games, which was 6.1 more points than it averaged in road games (80.6).
• Phoenix scored an average of 82.8 points last year, only 2.1 more points than the 80.7 that Las Vegas allowed.
• When they scored more than 80.7 points last season, the Mercury went 21-6.
• At home, Phoenix scored 83.8 points per game last season. On the road, it scored 81.8.

All Media on this page by Associated Press.