Lightning vs. Canucks NHL Predictions, Picks and Odds - Nov. 16
16 November 2025

The Tampa Bay Lightning and Vancouver Canucks -- the former coming off a win, the latter a loss -- will face each other on Sunday at 5 p.m. ET, at Benchmark International Arena in Tampa. Lightning (-170) versus Canucks (+142) has a definite favorite, according to the moneyline odds.
Tampa Bay secured a 3-1 victory on the road its last time out on Nov. 15 against the Florida Panthers. The Lightning got one point apiece out of seven players, including Curtis Douglas (one assist) and Emil Martinsen Lilleberg (one goal).
Vancouver's last game was a road overtime loss, 4-3, against the Carolina Hurricanes on Nov. 14. Elias Pettersson had two points (one goal and one assist) in that matchup for the Canucks.
Before this matchup, here's who we expect to secure the win in Sunday's hockey contest.
Bet now on FanDuel Sportsbook!Lightning vs. Canucks Predictions & Pick
For predictions on the upcoming game between the Tampa Bay Lightning and Vancouver Canucks, computer-derived moneyline, over/under, and score predictions are below, based on data from Dunkel Index.
- Prediction: Lightning 4 - Canucks 1
- Pick OU:
Under 6.5
(Dunkel projecting 4.96 goals)
Pick with the best in the business! Get free picks for every game, every week at the Dunkel Index.
Lightning vs. Canucks Moneylines
Grab a look below at the latest moneylines for the Lightning-Canucks game.
- Favorite: Lightning (-170)
- Underdog: Canucks (+142)
Lightning Betting Insights
- The Lightning are 6-5 when favored on the moneyline this season.
- When playing with moneyline odds of -170 or shorter, Tampa Bay has put together a 2-2 record (winning 50.0% of its games).
- The Lightning have a 63.0% chance (based on the moneyline's implied probability) to win this game.
- Tampa Bay's 17 matches this season have finished above this game's total of 6.5 goals seven times.
Canucks Betting Insights
- The Canucks have won five, or 41.7%, of the 12 games they have played while the underdog this season.
- Vancouver has a record of 2-3 in games when bookmakers have them as underdogs of at least +142 on the moneyline.
- The moneyline in this contest implies a 41.3% chance of victory for the Canucks.
- Vancouver has played 13 games this season with over 6.5 goals.
Lightning Key Stats
- Tampa Bay's 52 total goals (3.1 per game) rank 23rd in the league.
- The Lightning have allowed 49 total goals (2.9 per game), ranking seventh in league play for the fewest goals against.
- It has the league's 12th-ranked goal differential at +3.
- The eight power-play goals the Lightning have scored this season (to rank 26th in the NHL) have come on 57 power-play chances.
- Tampa Bay's 14.04% power-play conversion rate ranks 30th in the league.
- The one shorthanded goal the Lightning have scored this season rank 15th among NHL squads.
- Tampa Bay kills 87.5% of opponent power plays, the third-best penalty-kill percentage in the league.
- Tampa Bay wins 44.5% of its faceoffs to rank 31st in the NHL.
- The Lightning shoot 11.7% as a team (12th in the league).
Canucks Key Stats
- Vancouver's 54 goals on the season (2.8 per game) rank 18th in the league.
- The Canucks' total of 67 goals allowed (3.5 per game) is 28th in the NHL.
- With a goal differential of -13, the team is 28th in the league.
- The Canucks have 12 power-play goals (13th in NHL) on 59 chances.
- Vancouver has the NHL's 15th-ranked power-play percentage (20.34%).
- The Canucks have three shorthanded goals (third in NHL).
- At 66.13%, Vancouver has the 32nd-ranked penalty-kill percentage in the league.
- Vancouver wins 46% of faceoffs, 29th-ranked in the NHL.
- The 10.5% shooting percentage of the Canucks is 22nd in the league.
