Troy vs. CSU Northridge Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Nov. 16

The Troy Trojans (3-1) visit the CSU Northridge Matadors (2-2) at Premier America Credit Union Arena, beginning at 8 p.m. ET on Sunday, November 16, 2025. The Trojans are 4.5-point favorites in the game. The over/under for the matchup is 157.5.

In its most recent outing on Friday, Troy suffered a 74-63 loss to Loyola Marymount. In the losing effort, Cooper Campbell led Troy with 16 points. CSU Northridge lost its most recent game 90-68 against North Dakota State on Tuesday. Larry Hughes Jr.'s team-leading 18 points paced CSU Northridge in the loss.

Troy vs. CSU Northridge Odds and Game Time

• When: Sunday, November 16, 2025 at 8 p.m. ET
• Where: Premier America Credit Union Arena in Northridge, California
• Spread favorite: Troy -4.5
• Moneyline favorite: Troy -195
• Moneyline underdog: CSU Northridge +160
• Over/Under: 157.5 points

How to watch Troy vs. CSU Northridge

• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Troy vs. CSU Northridge

• Troy's games went over 157.5 points scored, its current matchup's point total, six times (out of 33) last season.
• A total of 12 CSU Northridge's games last season (out of 30) went over 157.5 total points scored.
• The two teams averaged a combined 3.8 fewer points per game (153.7) a season ago than this game's total of 157.5 points.
• The Trojans and the Matadors saw their opponents average a combined 18.9 fewer points per game last season than the point total of 157.5 set in this matchup.
• Troy's average point total in matchups last year was 139.1, 18.4 points less than the over/under in this game.
• The average point total for CSU Northridge in 2024 was 4.3 points fewer than this game's over/under.

Betting the Spread: Troy vs. CSU Northridge

• Troy put together a 21-11-1 record against the spread last season.
• The Trojans had an ATS record of 14-5 when playing as at least 4.5-point favorites last season.
• CSU Northridge compiled a 15-15-0 ATS record last year.
• The Matadors were an underdog by 4.5 points or more seven times last season, and covered the spread in two of those games.
• At home last year, CSU Northridge was 8-3 overall and 5-6 against the spread.
• At home last year, CSU Northridge was 5-4 ATS as a 4.5-point underdog or greater.
• Troy was 10-4-1 against the spread, and 9-6 overall, in away games last season.
• As a 4.5-point favorite or more on the road, Troy was 5-0 ATS.

Betting the Moneyline: Troy vs. CSU Northridge

• Troy won 19 of the 24 games it was listed as the moneyline favorite last season (79.2%).
• When playing as a moneyline favorite with odds of -195 or shorter, the Trojans had a 14-3 record (winning 82.4% of their games).
• Troy has an implied moneyline win probability of 66.1% in this matchup.
• CSU Northridge was underdogs in nine games last season and won four (44.4%) of those contests.
• The Matadors had a record of 2-4 in games where sportsbooks had them as underdogs of at least +160 on the moneyline.
• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that CSU Northridge has a 38.5% chance to win.

Dunkel Index Prediction for Troy vs. CSU Northridge

• Pick ATS: CSU Northridge (+ 4.5)
• Pick OU: Over (157.5)
  
• Prediction: CSU Northridge 82 - Troy 81