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2021 Hollywood Casino 400 Betting Preview/Prop Play

22 October 2021

NASCAR keeps having surprises show up during the playoffs. With the last race in Texas, fans saw Kyle Larson deliver his second straight victory and push even further into the number one spot.

Moving to now, the track at Kansas Speedway fits the profile for another Larson victory. The story for this second Round of 8 race will be if he can win another and make it his third consecutive victory.

Race Details

Date: Sun, Oct 24, 3:00 PM
Watch on: NBCS
Track: Kansas Speedway

Betting Overview

As mentioned above, this is arguably Larson’s race to lose. With so many features in favor of another victory, you have to wonder if it is too good to be true. However, other drivers definitely make a strong case to win.

Head to Head Matchup to Watch

Kevin Harvick (162.963) and Tyler Reddick (157.086) make an interesting pair to watch to steal the show. Harvick has a runner-up finish in the spring race, but Reddick has performed well here more recently and has the better momentum. Reddick might be worth taking a look at, even though he is a bit of a long shot compared to the favorites.

Dunkel Index For This Event

The Dunkel Index is showing these top 10 drivers that could win this event. The following ten are:

1    Kyle Larson    152.344                                        
2    Denny Hamlin    152.575                                       
3    Ryan Blaney    155.276                                                 
4    Chase Elliott    155.982           
5    Tyler Reddick    157.086                                       
6    Joey Logano    158.101                                       
7    Kyle Busch    158.376                                            
8    Alex Bowman    158.404                          
9    Brad Keselowski    159.076                                        
10    Christopher Bell    160.030

*index is subject to changes

Drivers That Could Win

Christopher Bell (160.030) makes a great case if you feel like spreading your money out for a long shot. He had an Xfinity race victory here a few years back. Also, he placed third in the last race on top of having three consecutive top-eight finishes.

Denny Hamlin (152.575) has two victories out of his last four tries here. But, his other races here have been rather not so hot, with a 15th last year and 12th place finish earlier in the year in May.

Kyle Busch (158.376) is one of the few drivers that have their name on a victory here since 2011 for this specific race. Since that time, it seems a different driver has won this event, or someone repeats. Busch won in May and has four top-five finishes out of his last six races here.

Potential Winning Pick

Kyle Larson (152.344) has simply dominated on 550 tracks this year. Looking at his performances on the year, he has compiled four wins, three second-place finishes, eight top-five finishes, and even a top 10.

In addition, he leads in these races at least for half the time in laps. Some people could argue that they do not want to pick him again for the third time, but he offers another compelling opportunity on a track that favors his driving.

Prop Play

Top 5 Finish: Denny Hamlin (-145)

The pressure is building as the Cup season comes to an end, especially for those drivers still in contention for the title.

That was apparent when Hamlin and Chase Briscoe got into a war of words over social media following their duel at Texas Motor Speedway last week. The three-time Daytona winner later admitted he acted immaturely by engaging in the back-and-forth.

But it also highlights how badly the soon-to-be 41-year-old wants to win his first Cup Series championship. Despite his success in NASCAR’s biggest race and 46 wins overall, Hamlin has never captured the championship in his 16-year career.

And he currently sits in third in this year’s standings 59 points behind leader Kyle Larson. A good performance at Kansas is a must. And the good news is he’s had major success there recently, winning back-to-back races in 2019 and 2020.

Rated No. 2 in this week’s Dunkel Index, we’ll take Hamlin (-145) to stay off social media and remain focused on the task at hand with at Top 5 finish on Sunday.

Keep up with your latest NASCAR news coverage and betting pick previews at The Dunkel Index.

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