Wings vs. Mercury: Betting Trends, Odds, Records Against the Spread, Predictions - Sept. 21

The Phoenix Mercury (15-27) will look to Kahleah Copper (fourth in WNBA, 21.3 points per game) to help beat Paige Bueckers (seventh in league, 20.6) and the Dallas Wings (26-16) on Monday, September 21, 2026 at Mortgage Matchup Center, at 10 p.m. ET on USA, KFAA, and AZFamily.

In Dallas' previous game, it took down Phoenix 87-82 at home. Bueckers (26 PTS, 5 AST, 3 STL, 52.6 FG%, 5-9 from 3PT) and Arike Ogunbowale (22 PTS, 6 AST, 57.1 FG%) were the standout performers for the Wings. Lexi Held (21 PTS, 3 STL, 63.6 FG%, 4-5 from 3PT) and Alyssa Thomas (19 PTS, 10 REB, 11 AST, 2 BLK, 72.7 FG%) paced the Mercury.

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Wings vs. Mercury Betting Lines

Snag a look below at the most up-to-date betting lines for the Wings-Mercury game.

• Favorite: Wings (-6.5)
• Total: 171.5
• Wings Moneyline: -235
• Mercury Moneyline: +186

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Wings Betting Insights

• Based on this contest's moneyline, the Wings' implied win probability is 70.1%.
• Dallas is 20-5 in games when favored on the moneyline (winning 80% of those games).
• The Wings have compiled a 20-22-0 ATS record so far this year.
• In 21 games this season, Dallas and its opponents have scored more than 171.5 combined points.
• Wings contests this year have an average total of 174.9, 3.4 more points than this matchup's over/under.

Mercury Betting Insights

• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Mercury have a 35.0% chance to win.
• This season, Phoenix has been the underdog 26 times and won seven, or 26.9%, of those games.
• The Mercury have put together an 18-24-0 ATS record so far this year.
• Phoenix and its opponents have combined to score more than 171.5 points in 20 of 42 games this season.
• Mercury games this season have had an average of 170.3 points, 1.2 fewer points than this game's total.

Key Stats for Wings vs. Mercury

• The 89.1 points per game Dallas averages are just 1.8 more points than Phoenix allows (87.3).
• The Wings are 21-3 when scoring more than 87.3 points.
• In the 2026 season, Dallas is scoring 0.8 fewer points per home game than on the road (88.8 at home, 89.6 on the road), and is also allowing 11.3 fewer points per home game compared to road games (79.7 at home, 91.0 on the road).
• Phoenix's 84.4 points per game are just 0.7 fewer points than the 85.1 Dallas gives up.
• The Mercury have gone 12-7 when they've scored more than 85.1 points.
• At home, Phoenix is better offensively, putting up 85.8 points per game, compared to 83.0 away. But it is not as good defensively, giving up 87.8 points per game at home, and 87.0 on the road.

All Media on this page by Associated Press.