Wings vs. Mercury: Betting Trends, Odds, Records Against the Spread, Predictions - Sept. 21

The Phoenix Mercury (15-27) will look to Kahleah Copper (fourth in WNBA, 21.3 points per game) to help overcome Paige Bueckers (seventh in league, 20.6) and the Dallas Wings (26-16) on Monday, September 21, 2026 at Mortgage Matchup Center, at 10 p.m. ET on USA, KFAA, and AZFamily.

Dallas' previous game ended in a win over Phoenix 87-82 at home. Bueckers (26 PTS, 5 AST, 3 STL, 52.6 FG%, 5-9 from 3PT) and Arike Ogunbowale (22 PTS, 6 AST, 57.1 FG%) led the Wings, and Lexi Held (21 PTS, 3 STL, 63.6 FG%, 4-5 from 3PT) and Alyssa Thomas (19 PTS, 10 REB, 11 AST, 2 BLK, 72.7 FG%) paced the Mercury.

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Wings vs. Mercury Betting Lines

Take a look below at the latest betting lines for the Wings-Mercury game.

• Favorite: Wings (-5.5)
• Total: 173.5
• Wings Moneyline: -220
• Mercury Moneyline: +176

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Wings Betting Insights

• Based on this game's moneyline, the Wings have an implied win probability of 68.8%.
• Dallas has won 80% of its games this season when favored on the moneyline (20-5).
• The Wings have won 20 games against the spread this season, while failing to cover 22 times.
• In 20 of 42 games this season, Dallas and its opponents have scored more than 173.5 points.
• Wings contests this year have an average point total of 174.9, 1.4 more points than this matchup's over/under.

Mercury Betting Insights

• The moneyline for this contest implies a 36.2% chance of a victory for the Mercury.
• Phoenix has entered the game as the underdog 26 times this season and won seven, or 26.9%, of those games.
• The Mercury have put together an 18-24-0 ATS record so far this year.
• Phoenix has combined with its opponents to score more than 173.5 points in 18 of 42 games this season.
• The Mercury have a 170.3-point average over/under in their matchups this season, 3.2 fewer points than this game's point total.

Key Stats for Wings vs. Mercury

• Dallas scores only 1.8 more points per game (89.1) than Phoenix gives up (87.3).
• The Wings are 21-3 when scoring more than 87.3 points.
• In 2026, Dallas' offense has been slightly worse at home, where it scores 88.8 points per game, compared to on the road, where it puts up 89.6. Defensively, it has been much tougher in home games, where it surrenders 79.7 points per game, versus road games, where it allows its opponents to score 91.
• Phoenix scores just 0.7 fewer points per game (84.4) than Dallas allows its opponents to score (85.1).
• The Mercury have put together a 12-7 record in games when they've scored more than 85.1 points.
• At home Phoenix puts up 85.8 points per game, 2.8 more than away (83). On defense, it gives up 87.8 points per game at home, 0.8 more than away (87).

All Media on this page by Associated Press.