William & Mary vs. Elon Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - CAA Tournament
07 March 2026

The No. 6 seed William & Mary Tribe (19-11, 10-8 CAA) are favored by 6.5 points when they face off the No. 11 seed Elon Phoenix (14-17, 6-12 CAA) in the CAA Tournament Saturday at CareFirst Arena, starting at 8:30 p.m. ET on FloCollege. A guaranteed spot in the NCAA Tournament bracket is on the line as these teams look to claim the CAA championship. The matchup has an over/under of 163.5 points.
William & Mary came out on top in its most recent game 94-85 against Hampton on Tuesday. In the victory, Tunde Vahlberg Fasasi led William & Mary with 17 points. Elon dropped its most recent outing 76-57 against UNC Wilmington on Tuesday. Elon got a team-best 19 points from Chandler Cuthrell in the loss.
William & Mary vs. Elon Odds and Game Time
- When: Saturday, March 7, 2026 at 8:30 p.m. ET
- Where: CareFirst Arena in Washington D.C.
- Spread favorite: William & Mary -6.5
- Moneyline favorite: William & Mary -225
- Moneyline underdog: Elon +185
- Over/Under: 163.5 points
How to watch William & Mary vs. Elon
- TV Channel: FloCollege
- Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!
Betting the Over/Under: William & Mary vs. Elon
- William & Mary and its opponents have hit the over on this game's total (163.5 points) 10 times this season.
- A total of 13 of Elon's games have ended with a combined score over 163.5 points this season.
- Together, the two teams combine for 162.8 points per game, 0.7 points fewer than the total of 163.5 for this contest.
- This matchup's total is 7.6 fewer points than the 155.9 these two teams combine to allow per game in 2024.
- On average, the over/under in William & Mary's games is 1.5 fewer points than the over/under of 163.5 in this contest.
- Elon's games have an average over/under of 156.7 points this season, 6.8 fewer points than the over/under for this matchup.
Betting the Spread: William & Mary vs. Elon
- William & Mary has played 28 games, with 15 wins against the spread.
- The Tribe are 3-6 ATS when favored by 6.5 points or more this season.
- Elon has played 29 games, with 11 wins against the spread.
- So far this year, the Phoenix have been installed as underdogs by a 6.5-point margin or more six times and are 4-2 ATS in those matchups.
- William & Mary is 6-5 against the spread, and 9-2 overall, at home.
- At home, William & Mary is 3-5 ATS as a 6.5-point favorite or greater.
- Elon is 8-7 against the spread, and 6-9 overall, on the road.
- Elon is winless ATS (0-1) as 6.5-point underdogs or more away from home.
Betting the Moneyline: William & Mary vs. Elon
- This season, William & Mary has been moneyline favorites 20 times and won 13, or 65%, of those games.
- The Tribe have entered 11 games this season favored by -225 or more and are 8-3 in those contests.
- The implied probability of a win from William & Mary, based on the moneyline, is 69.2%.
- Elon has won in seven, or 43.8%, of the 16 contests it has been named as the moneyline underdog this year.
- This year, the Phoenix have won three of eight games when listed as at least +185 or worse on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies Elon has a 35.1% chance of walking away with the win.
