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William & Mary vs. Elon Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - CAA Tournament

07 March 2026 By Data Skrive

The No. 6 seed William & Mary Tribe (19-11, 10-8 CAA) are favored by 6.5 points when they face off the No. 11 seed Elon Phoenix (14-17, 6-12 CAA) in the CAA Tournament Saturday at CareFirst Arena, starting at 8:30 p.m. ET on FloCollege. A guaranteed spot in the NCAA Tournament bracket is on the line as these teams look to claim the CAA championship. The matchup has an over/under of 163.5 points.

William & Mary came out on top in its most recent game 94-85 against Hampton on Tuesday. In the victory, Tunde Vahlberg Fasasi led William & Mary with 17 points. Elon dropped its most recent outing 76-57 against UNC Wilmington on Tuesday. Elon got a team-best 19 points from Chandler Cuthrell in the loss.

William & Mary vs. Elon Odds and Game Time

  • When: Saturday, March 7, 2026 at 8:30 p.m. ET
  • Where: CareFirst Arena in Washington D.C.
  • Spread favorite: William & Mary -6.5
  • Moneyline favorite: William & Mary -225
  • Moneyline underdog: Elon +185
  • Over/Under: 163.5 points

How to watch William & Mary vs. Elon

Betting the Over/Under: William & Mary vs. Elon

  • William & Mary and its opponents have hit the over on this game's total (163.5 points) 10 times this season.
  • A total of 13 of Elon's games have ended with a combined score over 163.5 points this season.
  • Together, the two teams combine for 162.8 points per game, 0.7 points fewer than the total of 163.5 for this contest.
  • This matchup's total is 7.6 fewer points than the 155.9 these two teams combine to allow per game in 2024.
  • On average, the over/under in William & Mary's games is 1.5 fewer points than the over/under of 163.5 in this contest.
  • Elon's games have an average over/under of 156.7 points this season, 6.8 fewer points than the over/under for this matchup.
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Betting the Spread: William & Mary vs. Elon

  • William & Mary has played 28 games, with 15 wins against the spread.
  • The Tribe are 3-6 ATS when favored by 6.5 points or more this season.
  • Elon has played 29 games, with 11 wins against the spread.
  • So far this year, the Phoenix have been installed as underdogs by a 6.5-point margin or more six times and are 4-2 ATS in those matchups.
  • William & Mary is 6-5 against the spread, and 9-2 overall, at home.
  • At home, William & Mary is 3-5 ATS as a 6.5-point favorite or greater.
  • Elon is 8-7 against the spread, and 6-9 overall, on the road.
  • Elon is winless ATS (0-1) as 6.5-point underdogs or more away from home.

Betting the Moneyline: William & Mary vs. Elon

  • This season, William & Mary has been moneyline favorites 20 times and won 13, or 65%, of those games.
  • The Tribe have entered 11 games this season favored by -225 or more and are 8-3 in those contests.
  • The implied probability of a win from William & Mary, based on the moneyline, is 69.2%.
  • Elon has won in seven, or 43.8%, of the 16 contests it has been named as the moneyline underdog this year.
  • This year, the Phoenix have won three of eight games when listed as at least +185 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies Elon has a 35.1% chance of walking away with the win.

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