Virginia vs. Wright State Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - First Round

The 14th-seeded Wright State Raiders (23-11) take the court in the opening round of the NCAA Tournament against the No. 3 seed Virginia Cavaliers (29-5) on Friday at Xfinity Mobile Arena. The contest begins at 1:50 p.m. ET on TBS. Wright State is a heavy, 17.5-point underdog in the game. Here's what you need to know before filling out your brackets for this 3-14 matchup in the Midwest Region. The matchup has an over/under set at 146.5 points.

In its last time out, Virginia lost 74-70 to Duke on Saturday. Malik Thomas put up 18 points, two rebounds and zero assists for Virginia. Wright State took care of business in its most recent outing 66-63 against Detroit Mercy on Tuesday. TJ Burch scored 19 points in Wright State's win, leading the team.

Virginia vs. Wright State Odds and Game Time

• When: Friday, March 20, 2026 at 1:50 p.m. ET
• Where: Xfinity Mobile Arena in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
• Spread favorite: Virginia -17.5
• Moneyline favorite: Virginia -2941
• Moneyline underdog: Wright State +1180
• Over/Under: 146.5 points

How to watch Virginia vs. Wright State

• TV Channel: TBS
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Virginia vs. Wright State

• Virginia and its opponents have combined to outscore Friday's total (146.5 points) 16 times this season.
• A total of 21 of Wright State's games have finished with a combined score over 146.5 points this season.
• Together, the two teams combine for 161.3 points per game, 14.8 points more than the over/under of 146.5 for this game.
• The 141.8 points per game these two teams allow their opponents to score combined this season are 4.7 less than the 146.5-point total in this contest.
• On average, Virginia has seen a 149.1-point over/under in its games this season, 2.6 more points than the over/under in this matchup.
• Wright State's games have an average over/under of 154.2 points this season, 7.7 more points than the over/under for this matchup.

Betting the Spread: Virginia vs. Wright State

• Virginia is 18-16-0 against the spread this season.
• The Cavaliers have an against the spread record of 4-3 in their seven games as a favorite of 17.5 points or more so far this season.
• Wright State has played 32 games, with 20 wins against the spread.
• At home this season, Virginia is 16-1 overall and 8-9 against the spread.
• As a 17.5-point favorite or more at home, Virginia is 4-3 ATS.
• This season away from home, Wright State is 10-4 against the spread and 9-5 overall.

Betting the Moneyline: Virginia vs. Wright State

• This season, Virginia has won 24 out of the 27 games, or 88.9%, in which it has been the moneyline favorite.
• The Cavaliers have been at least a -2941 moneyline favorite five times this season and won each of those games.
• The bookmakers' moneyline implies a 96.7% chance of a victory for Virginia.
• Wright State has won in three of the nine contests it has been named as the moneyline underdog this year.
• The Raiders have yet to play a game this season with longer moneyline odds than +1180.
• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that Wright State has a 7.8% chance of pulling out a win.