VCU vs. Dayton Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - A-10 Tournament

The No. 2 seed VCU Rams (26-7, 15-3 A-10) and the No. 4 Dayton Flyers (23-10, 12-6 A-10) will meet to determine the A-10 conference champion on Sunday at 1 p.m. ET, live on CBS. VCU holds the advantage, as sportsbooks favor the by 3.5 points to claim the automatic berth into the NCAA Tournament bracket. The matchup has an over/under set at 138.5 points.

In its last time out, VCU won on Saturday 77-64 over Saint Joseph's (PA). Terrence Hill Jr. put up 18 points, two rebounds and one assist for VCU. Dayton heads into this game on the heels of a 70-69 victory against Saint Louis on Saturday. Jordan Derkack recorded 28 points, six rebounds and zero assists for Dayton.

VCU vs. Dayton Odds and Game Time

• When: Sunday, March 15, 2026 at 1 p.m. ET
• Where: PPG Paints Arena in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
• Spread favorite: VCU -3.5
• Moneyline favorite: VCU -173
• Moneyline underdog: Dayton +141
• Over/Under: 138.5 points

How to watch VCU vs. Dayton

• TV Channel: CBS
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: VCU vs. Dayton

• VCU and its opponents have hit the over on this game's total (138.5 points) 28 times this season.
• There have been 19 Dayton games that ended with a combined score higher than 138.5 points this season.
• Together, the two teams combine for 156.6 points per game, 18.1 points more than the total of 138.5 for this matchup.
• This game's over/under is 3.2 less than the 141.7 points these two teams combine to give up per game.
• This season, the average over/under for VCU's games is 153.7 points, 15.2 more than the total of 138.5 points set for this contest.
• Dayton's games have an average over/under of 144.6 points this season, 6.1 more points than the over/under for this matchup.

Betting the Spread: VCU vs. Dayton

• VCU has 16 wins against the spread in 32 games this year.
• This season, the Rams have an against-the-spread record of 12-12 in their 24 games as a favorite of 3.5 points or more.
• Dayton has 14 wins against the spread in 32 games this year.
• The Flyers have an against the spread record of 4-4 in their eight games when underdogs by 3.5 points or more this year.
• VCU is 15-2 overall, and 7-10 against the spread, at home.
• This season, as a 3.5-point favorite or greater at home, VCU is 7-9 ATS.
• Dayton is 6-5 overall, and 4-6-1 against the spread, on the road.
• On the road, Dayton is winless ATS (0-3-1) as 3.5-point underdogs or more.

Betting the Moneyline: VCU vs. Dayton

• VCU has been the moneyline favorite in 27 games this season and won 24 (88.9%) of those contests.
• The Rams have a record of 23-1 in games where sportsbooks favor them by at least -173 on the moneyline.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 63.4% chance of a victory for VCU.
• Dayton has won in four of the nine contests it has been named as the moneyline underdog this year.
• This season, the Flyers have come away with a win three times in eight chances when named as an underdog of at least +141 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies Dayton has a 41.5% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.