Vanderbilt vs. McNeese Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - First Round
16 March 2026

The No. 5 seed Vanderbilt Commodores (26-8) and the No. 12 seed McNeese Cowboys (28-5) will meet in the first round of the NCAA Tournament on Thursday at 3:15 p.m. ET. Vanderbilt is favored by 11.5 points in the matchup, which airs on truTV. Here's everything you need to know about this 5-12 matchup when filling out your brackets. The matchup has an over/under of 150.5 points.
In its last game on Sunday, Vanderbilt suffered an 86-75 loss to Arkansas. Tyler Nickel scored a team-high 19 points for Vanderbilt in the loss. McNeese's last game on Wednesday ended in a 76-59 win over SFA. Jovohn Garcia scored a team-leading 31 points for McNeese in the victory.
Vanderbilt vs. McNeese Odds and Game Time
- When: Thursday, March 19, 2026 at 3:15 p.m. ET
- Where: Paycom Center in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma
- Spread favorite: Vanderbilt -11.5
- Moneyline favorite: Vanderbilt -680
- Moneyline underdog: McNeese +456
- Over/Under: 150.5 points
How to watch Vanderbilt vs. McNeese
- TV Channel: truTV
- Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!
Betting the Over/Under: Vanderbilt vs. McNeese
- This season, Vanderbilt and its opponents have combined to outscore Thursday's over/under of 150.5 points 26 times.
- There have been eight McNeese games that finished with a combined score higher than 150.5 points this season.
- The Commodores average 86.4 points per game against the Cowboys' 80.0, totaling 15.9 points over the matchup's total of 150.5.
- This game's total is 8.8 fewer points than the 141.7 these two teams combine to allow per game in 2024.
- Vanderbilt has a 161.6 average over/under in its games this season, 11.1 more points than the over/under in this matchup.
- McNeese's games have an average over/under of 146.5 points this season, 4.0 points lower than the over/under for this game.
Betting the Spread: Vanderbilt vs. McNeese
- Vanderbilt has played 34 games, with 18 wins against the spread.
- The Commodores have been favored by 11.5 points or more 11 times this season and are 5-6 ATS in those games.
- Against the spread, McNeese is 14-17-0 this season.
- This year, the Cowboys are winless ATS when entering a game as an underdog of 11.5 points or more.
- Vanderbilt is 8-8 against the spread, and 13-3 overall, at home this year.
- At home, Vanderbilt is 4-5 ATS as a 11.5-point favorite or greater.
- This season in away games, McNeese is 3-11 against the spread and 9-5 overall.
- McNeese has one win ATS (1-3) as 11.5-point underdogs or more away from home.
Betting the Moneyline: Vanderbilt vs. McNeese
- This season, Vanderbilt has won 21 out of the 26 games, or 80.8%, in which it has been the moneyline favorite.
- The Commodores have a record of 8-1, a 88.9% win rate, when favored by -680 or more by sportsbooks this season.
- Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that Vanderbilt has a 87.2% chance to win.
- McNeese has been victorious in one of the three contests it has been chosen as a moneyline underdog in this season.
- The Cowboys have played as an underdog of +456 or more just one time this year and came away with a loss in that game.
- Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that McNeese has an 18% chance of pulling out a win.
