Utah Valley vs. UT Arlington Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - WAC Tournament
13 March 2026

The No. 1 seed Utah Valley Wolverines (24-7, 14-4 WAC) are favored by 8.5 points when they face off the No. 4 seed UT Arlington Mavericks (18-13, 9-9 WAC) in the WAC Tournament. The teams will look to take another step toward an automatic berth in the NCAA Tournament bracket on Friday at Orleans Arena tipping off at 9 p.m. ET and airing on ESPN+. The point total for the matchup is set at 136.5.
Last time out, Utah Valley won on Saturday 104-101 against Utah Tech in overtime. Sherman Weatherspoon IV recorded 27 points, three rebounds and one assist for Utah Valley. In its last matchup on Thursday, UT Arlington earned a 69-63 victory against Southern Utah. Marcell McCreary totaled 18 points, eight rebounds and zero assists for UT Arlington.
Utah Valley vs. UT Arlington Odds and Game Time
- When: Friday, March 13, 2026 at 9 p.m. ET
- Where: Orleans Arena in Paradise, Nevada
- Spread favorite: Utah Valley -8.5
- Moneyline favorite: Utah Valley -429
- Moneyline underdog: UT Arlington +319
- Over/Under: 136.5 points
How to watch Utah Valley vs. UT Arlington
- TV Channel: ESPN+
- Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!
Betting the Over/Under: Utah Valley vs. UT Arlington
- This season, Utah Valley and its opponents have combined to outscore Friday's over/under of 136.5 points 22 times.
- A total of 12 of UT Arlington's games have ended with a combined score higher than 136.5 points this season.
- Together, the two teams combine for 151.4 points per game, 14.9 points more than the total of 136.5 for this matchup.
- This matchup's over/under is 1.1 fewer points than the 135.4 these two teams combine to allow per game in 2024.
- This season, the average over/under for Utah Valley's games is 150 points, 13.5 more than the total of 136.5 points set for this contest.
- A difference of 0.3 points separates the average over/under in UT Arlington's games (136.8 points) and this matchup's over/under (136.5).
Betting the Spread: Utah Valley vs. UT Arlington
- Utah Valley has 13 wins against the spread in 28 games this year.
- The Wolverines have an ATS record of 5-9 in their 14 games as a favorite of 8.5 points or more so far this season.
- UT Arlington is 16-13-0 against the spread this season.
- The Mavericks have yet to cover the spread this season when underdogs by 8.5 points or more in four chances.
- At home this year, Utah Valley is 12-0 overall and 6-6 against the spread.
- At home, Utah Valley is 5-5 ATS as a 8.5-point favorite or more.
- This year away from home, UT Arlington is 8-8 against the spread and 8-8 overall.
Betting the Moneyline: Utah Valley vs. UT Arlington
- This season, Utah Valley has won 21 out of the 25 games, or 84%, in which it has been the moneyline favorite.
- This season, the Wolverines have won 11 of their 12 games, or 91.7%, when favored by at least -429 on the moneyline.
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 81.1% chance of a victory for Utah Valley.
- UT Arlington has been a moneyline underdog in 17 games this season and has come away with the win seven times (41.2%) in those contests.
- The Mavericks have yet to win this season when listed as an underdog of +319 or worse on the moneyline this season.
- UT Arlington has an implied victory probability of 23.9% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
