Utah State vs. UNLV Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - MWC Tournament

The No. 1 seed Utah State Aggies (25-6, 15-5 MWC) are favored by 6.5 points in the MWC Tournament against the No. 8 seed UNLV Rebels (17-15, 11-9 MWC) on Thursday at Thomas & Mack Center, beginning at 3 p.m. ET on CBS Sports Network. The matchup's over/under is set at 157.5.

Utah State won its last game 94-90 against New Mexico on Saturday. In the victory, Michael Collins Jr. paced Utah State with 27 points. UNLV enters this contest following a 73-70 victory against Wyoming on Wednesday. Kimani Hamilton scored 23 points in UNLV's win, leading the team.

Utah State vs. UNLV Odds and Game Time

• When: Thursday, March 12, 2026 at 3 p.m. ET
• Where: Thomas & Mack Center in Las Vegas, Nevada
• Spread favorite: Utah State -6.5
• Moneyline favorite: Utah State -278
• Moneyline underdog: UNLV +220
• Over/Under: 157.5 points

How to watch Utah State vs. UNLV

• TV Channel: CBS Sports Network
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Utah State vs. UNLV

• This season, Utah State's games have hit the over on this matchup's 157.5-point over/under 14 times.
• This season, 16 of UNLV's games have finished with a combined score higher than 157.5 points.
• The over/under for the contest of 157.5 is 5.5 points fewer than the combined points per game averages for the Aggies (83 points per game) and the Rebels (80 points per game).
• The 149.6 points per game these two teams allow to opponents on average this season are 7.9 fewer than the 157.5 total in this contest.
• On average, the over/under in Utah State's games is 3.4 fewer points than the over/under of 157.5 in this contest.
• A difference of 1.0 point separates the average over/under in UNLV's games (158.5 points) and this contest's over/under (157.5).

Betting the Spread: Utah State vs. UNLV

• Utah State has played 30 games, with 11 wins against the spread.
• The Aggies are 9-13 ATS when favored by 6.5 points or more this season.
• Against the spread, UNLV is 15-16-0 this season.
• So far this year, the Rebels have been installed as underdogs by a 6.5-point margin or more 10 times and are 6-4 ATS in those matchups.
• Utah State is 5-9 against the spread, and 13-1 overall, at home.
• As a 6.5-point favorite or greater at home, Utah State is 5-9 ATS.
• UNLV is 6-6 overall, and 7-5 against the spread, in away games.
• UNLV is unbeaten ATS (2-0) as 6.5-point underdogs or more on the road.

Betting the Moneyline: Utah State vs. UNLV

• This season, Utah State has won 23 out of the 28 games, or 82.1%, in which it has been the moneyline favorite.
• The Aggies have entered 22 games this season favored by -278 or more and are 20-2 in those contests.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that Utah State has a 73.5% chance to win.
• UNLV has won in eight, or 47.1%, of the 17 contests it has been named as the moneyline underdog this year.
• The Rebels have a mark of 5-5 in contests where oddsmakers give them odds of +220 or worse on the moneyline.
• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that UNLV has a 31.2% chance of pulling out a win.