Utah State vs. San Diego State Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - MWC Tournament
14 March 2026
The No. 1 seed Utah State Aggies (27-6, 15-5 MWC) and the No. 2 San Diego State Aztecs (22-10, 14-6 MWC) will meet to determine the MWC conference champion on Saturday at 6 p.m. ET, live on CBS. Utah State holds the advantage, as bookmakers favor the by 1.5 points to claim the automatic berth into the NCAA Tournament bracket. The matchup has an over/under of 143.5.
In its last matchup on Friday, Utah State earned a 79-66 victory against Nevada. In Utah State's win, Adlan Elamin led the way with a team-high 15 points (adding six rebounds and zero assists). San Diego State's most recent game on Saturday ended in a 64-62 victory against New Mexico. Magoon Gwath scored 17 points in San Diego State's win, leading the team.
Utah State vs. San Diego State Odds and Game Time
- When: Saturday, March 14, 2026 at 6 p.m. ET
- Where: Thomas & Mack Center in Las Vegas, Nevada
- Spread favorite: Utah State -1.5
- Moneyline favorite: Utah State -126
- Moneyline underdog: San Diego State +104
- Over/Under: 143.5 points
How to watch Utah State vs. San Diego State
Betting the Over/Under: Utah State vs. San Diego State
- A total of 22 of Utah State's games this season have gone over Saturday's over/under of 143.5 points.
- In San Diego State's 31 games this season, 14 finished with more combined points than Saturday's over/under of 143.5.
- Together, the two teams combine for 161.5 points per game, 18 points more than the point total of 143.5 for this contest.
- These two teams give up a combined 141.5 points per game, two points less than this contest's over/under.
- On average, Utah State has seen a 153.4-point over/under in its games this season, 9.9 more points than the over/under in this contest.
- The over/under for this game is 6.1 points lower than the average over/under in San Diego State's games this season (149.6 points).
Betting the Spread: Utah State vs. San Diego State
- Utah State is 13-19-0 against the spread this season.
- The Aggies have been favored by 1.5 points or more 29 times this season and are 12-17 ATS in those games.
- San Diego State is 15-16-0 against the spread this year.
- This year, the Aztecs have an ATS record of 3-5 in their eight games as an underdog of 1.5 points or more.
- At home this year, Utah State is 5-9 against the spread and 13-1 overall.
- At home, as a 1.5-point favorite or greater, Utah State is 5-9 ATS.
- This year away from home, San Diego State is 6-4 against the spread and 5-5 overall.
- This season, as 1.5-point underdogs or more on the road, San Diego State is 4-2 ATS.
Betting the Moneyline: Utah State vs. San Diego State
- Utah State has entered the game as moneyline favorites 30 times this season and won 25, or 83.3%, of those games.
- The Aggies have a record of 25-4, a 86.2% win rate, when favored by -126 or more by sportsbooks this season.
- The bookmakers' moneyline implies a 55.8% chance of a victory for Utah State.
- San Diego State has won in two of the eight contests it has been named as the moneyline underdog this year.
- This year, the Aztecs have won one of six games when listed as at least +104 or worse on the moneyline.
- San Diego State has an implied victory probability of 49% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
