Utah State vs. Nevada Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - MWC Tournament

The No. 1 seed Utah State Aggies (26-6, 15-5 MWC) are 6.5-point favorites in the MWC Tournament when they face off against the No. 5 seed Nevada Wolf Pack (22-11, 12-8 MWC) on Friday at Thomas & Mack Center, starting at 9:30 p.m. ET on CBS Sports Network. Both teams hope to move one step closer to an automatic berth in the NCAA Tournament bracket. The matchup's point total is set at 144.5.

Utah State won its most recent game 80-60 against UNLV on Thursday. In Utah State's win, Mason Falslev led the way with a team-high 24 points (adding nine rebounds and three assists). Nevada heads into this matchup on the heels of an 84-80 win over Grand Canyon on Thursday. Corey Camper Jr. totaled 27 points, six rebounds and zero assists for Nevada.

Utah State vs. Nevada Odds and Game Time

• When: Friday, March 13, 2026 at 9:30 p.m. ET
• Where: Thomas & Mack Center in Las Vegas, Nevada
• Spread favorite: Utah State -6.5
• Moneyline favorite: Utah State -275
• Moneyline underdog: Nevada +217
• Over/Under: 144.5 points

How to watch Utah State vs. Nevada

• TV Channel: CBS Sports Network
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Utah State vs. Nevada

• This season, Utah State and its opponents have combined to outscore Friday's total of 144.5 points 21 times.
• This season, 19 games Nevada has played finished with a combined score higher than 144.5 points.
• The total for the game of 144.5 is 14.6 points fewer than the combined points per game averages for the Aggies (82.9 points per game) and the Wolf Pack (76.2 points per game).
• This matchup's point total is 2.3 fewer points than the 142.2 these two teams combine to allow per game in 2024.
• On average, Utah State has had a 153.7-point over/under in its games this season, 9.2 more points than the over/under in this contest.
• The over/under for this game is 3.1 points lower than the average over/under in Nevada's games this season (147.6 points).

Betting the Spread: Utah State vs. Nevada

• Against the spread, Utah State is 12-19-0 this year.
• This season, the Aggies have an ATS record of 10-13 in their 23 games as a favorite of 6.5 points or more.
• In Nevada's 33 games this year, it has 18 wins against the spread.
• The Wolf Pack have an against the spread record of 3-2 in their five games as an underdog of 6.5 points or more this year.
• At home this season, Utah State is 5-9 against the spread and 13-1 overall.
• At home, as a 6.5-point favorite or more, Utah State is 5-9 ATS.
• Nevada is 5-7 against the spread, and 4-8 overall, away from home.
• Nevada is winless ATS (0-3) as 6.5-point underdogs or more away from home.

Betting the Moneyline: Utah State vs. Nevada

• Utah State has been the moneyline favorite in 29 games this season and won 24 (82.8%) of those contests.
• The Aggies have a record of 21-2, a 91.3% win rate, when favored by -275 or more by bookmakers this season.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 73.3% chance of a victory for Utah State.
• Nevada has been victorious in five, or 41.7%, of the 12 contests it has been chosen as a moneyline underdog in this season.
• The Wolf Pack have won all of their five games in which they were named as at least a +217 moneyline underdog.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies Nevada has a 31.5% chance of walking away with the win.