UT Rio Grande Valley vs. Nicholls State Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Southland Tournament

The No. 3 seed UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros (18-13, 14-8 Southland) are favored by 7.5 points in the Southland Tournament when they face off the No. 6 seed Nicholls State Colonels (14-18, 12-10 Southland) Monday at The Legacy Center, beginning at 8:30 p.m. ET on ESPN+. The winner moves one game closer to claiming a guaranteed place in the NCAA Tournament bracket. The matchup's point total is set at 147.5.

In its last time out, UT Rio Grande Valley won on Monday 74-62 against Northwestern State. Koree Cotton put up 21 points, seven rebounds and one assist for UT Rio Grande Valley. In its most recent outing on Sunday, Nicholls State earned a 61-47 victory against Northwestern State. Sincere Malone's team-leading 14 points paced Nicholls State in the victory.

UT Rio Grande Valley vs. Nicholls State Odds and Game Time

• When: Monday, March 9, 2026 at 8:30 p.m. ET
• Where: The Legacy Center in Lake Charles, Louisiana
• Spread favorite: UT Rio Grande Valley -7.5
• Moneyline favorite: UT Rio Grande Valley -297
• Moneyline underdog: Nicholls State +240
• Over/Under: 147.5 points

How to watch UT Rio Grande Valley vs. Nicholls State

• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: UT Rio Grande Valley vs. Nicholls State

• UT Rio Grande Valley and its opponents have combined to outscore Monday's total of 147.5 points 11 times this season.
• A total of 12 of Nicholls State's games have ended with a combined score higher than 147.5 points this season.
• Together, the two teams combine for 148 points per game, 0.5 points more than the total of 147.5 for this game.
• This matchup's total is 3.9 fewer points than the 143.6 these two teams combine to allow per game in 2024.
• This season the average over/under for UT Rio Grande Valley's games is 144.5 points, 3.0 fewer than the over/under of 147.5 set for this contest.
• The over/under for this game is 0.5 points higher than the average over/under in Nicholls State's games this season of 147.

Betting the Spread: UT Rio Grande Valley vs. Nicholls State

• UT Rio Grande Valley has 16 wins against the spread in 29 games this season.
• The Vaqueros have covered the spread twice this season when favored by 7.5 points or more (in three chances).
• Against the spread, Nicholls State is 16-15-0 this year.
• This season, the Colonels have an ATS record of 4-5 in their nine games as an underdog of 7.5 points or more.
• At home this season, UT Rio Grande Valley is 5-8 against the spread and 8-5 overall.
• At home, as a 7.5-point favorite or more, UT Rio Grande Valley has two wins ATS (2-1).
• This year away from home, Nicholls State is 10-9 against the spread and 7-12 overall.

Betting the Moneyline: UT Rio Grande Valley vs. Nicholls State

• This season, UT Rio Grande Valley has been moneyline favorites 19 times and won 12, or 63.2%, of those games.
• The Vaqueros are undefeated in three games this season when favored by -297 or more on the moneyline.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 74.8% chance of a victory for UT Rio Grande Valley.
• Nicholls State has come away with seven wins in the 21 contests it has been listed as the moneyline underdog this season.
• The Colonels have yet to win this season when listed as an underdog of +240 or worse on the moneyline this season.
• Nicholls State has an implied victory probability of 29.4% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.