UT Arlington vs. Southern Utah Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - WAC Tournament

The No. 4 seed UT Arlington Mavericks (17-13, 9-9 WAC) are 5.5-point favorites in the WAC Tournament against the No. 5 seed Southern Utah Thunderbirds (10-21, 6-12 WAC) on Thursday at Orleans Arena. The contest begins at 9 p.m. ET and airs on ESPN+, with the winner moving one step closer to securing a guaranteed spot in the NCAA Tournament bracket. The over/under is set at 140.5 in the matchup.

UT Arlington is coming off of a 64-57 win against Abilene Christian in its most recent game on Saturday. In the win, Casmir Chavis paced UT Arlington with 16 points. Southern Utah's last outing on Saturday ended in an 82-75 loss to Cal Baptist. Elijah Duval scored 30 points in Southern Utah's loss, leading the team.

UT Arlington vs. Southern Utah Odds and Game Time

• When: Thursday, March 12, 2026 at 9 p.m. ET
• Where: Orleans Arena in Paradise, Nevada
• Spread favorite: UT Arlington -5.5
• Moneyline favorite: UT Arlington -207
• Moneyline underdog: Southern Utah +167
• Over/Under: 140.5 points

How to watch UT Arlington vs. Southern Utah

• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: UT Arlington vs. Southern Utah

• This season, 11 of UT Arlington's 28 games have gone over Thursday's over/under of 140.5 points.
• This season, 22 games Southern Utah has played finished with a combined score over 140.5 points.
• The total for the matchup of 140.5 is 6.4 points fewer than the combined points per game averages for the Mavericks (70.2) and Thunderbirds (76.7).
• The 146.6 points per game these two teams allow to opponents on average this season are 6.1 more than the 140.5 total in this contest.
• This season the average over/under for UT Arlington's games is 137 points, 3.5 lower than the over/under of 140.5 points set for this contest.
• Southern Utah's games have an average over/under of 156.6 points this season, 16.1 more points than the over/under for this game.

Betting the Spread: UT Arlington vs. Southern Utah

• UT Arlington has 15 wins against the spread in 28 games this year.
• The Mavericks have been favored by 5.5 points or more four times this season and are 3-1 ATS in those games.
• Southern Utah has played 28 games, with 16 wins against the spread.
• This year, the Thunderbirds have an ATS record of 11-10 in their 21 games as an underdog of 5.5 points or more.
• UT Arlington is 7-4 overall, and 7-4 against the spread, at home.
• At home, UT Arlington has two wins ATS (2-1) as a 5.5-point favorite or more.
• Southern Utah is 10-7 against the spread, and 2-15 overall, away from home.

Betting the Moneyline: UT Arlington vs. Southern Utah

• UT Arlington has entered the game as moneyline favorites 11 times this season and won eight, or 72.7%, of those games.
• The Mavericks have entered four games this season favored by -207 or more and are 3-1 in those contests.
• UT Arlington has a 67.4% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• Southern Utah has won in six, or 22.2%, of the 27 contests it has been named as the moneyline underdog this year.
• This season, the Thunderbirds have come away with a win three times in 22 chances when named as an underdog of at least +167 or worse on the moneyline.
• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that Southern Utah has a 37.5% chance of pulling out a win.