UMBC vs. Vermont Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - America East Tournament

The No. 1 seed UMBC Retrievers (23-8, 14-2 America East) are 3.5-point favorites to claim the America East championship and a guaranteed spot in the NCAA Tournament bracket when they face off with the No. 2 Vermont Catamounts (22-11, 12-4 America East) on Saturday at 11 a.m. ET, live on ESPN2. The matchup has an over/under of 136.5 points.

UMBC is coming off of a 91-69 victory against UMass-Lowell in its most recent game on Tuesday. In UMBC's win, Jah'likai King led the way with a team-high 24 points (adding four rebounds and one assist). Vermont heads into this game after a 63-54 win over NJIT on Tuesday. TJ Hurley scored 14 points in Vermont's victory, leading the team.

UMBC vs. Vermont Odds and Game Time

• When: Saturday, March 14, 2026 at 11 a.m. ET
• Where: Chesapeake Employers Insurance Arena in Baltimore, Maryland
• Spread favorite: UMBC -3.5
• Moneyline favorite: UMBC -163
• Moneyline underdog: Vermont +132
• Over/Under: 136.5 points

How to watch UMBC vs. Vermont

• TV Channel: ESPN2
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: UMBC vs. Vermont

• UMBC and its opponents have combined to hit the over on Saturday's over/under of 136.5 points 21 times this season.
• In Vermont's 31 games this season, 20 finished with more combined points than Saturday's point total of 136.5.
• Together, the two teams combine for 150.1 points per game, 13.6 points more than the point total of 136.5 for this contest.
• These two teams give up a combined 135.7 points per game, 0.8 less than this contest's over/under.
• This season, the average over/under for UMBC's games is 143.5 points, seven more than the total of 136.5 points set for this contest.
• The over/under for this game is 5.7 points lower than the average over/under in Vermont's games this season of 142.2.

Betting the Spread: UMBC vs. Vermont

• In UMBC's 29 games this year, it has 18 wins against the spread.
• So far this season, the Retrievers have been installed as favorites by a 3.5-point margin or more 17 times and are 11-6 ATS in those contests.
• Vermont has played 31 games, with 14 wins against the spread.
• This year, the Catamounts have two ATS wins in four games as an underdog of 3.5 points or more.
• At home this season, UMBC is 8-6 against the spread and 10-2 overall.
• At home, as a 3.5-point favorite or greater, UMBC is 4-5 ATS.
• This year on the road, Vermont is 5-8-1 against the spread and 8-6 overall.
• On the road, as 3.5-point underdogs or more, Vermont is 3-5-1 ATS.

Betting the Moneyline: UMBC vs. Vermont

• This season, UMBC has been moneyline favorites 20 times and won 18, or 90%, of those games.
• The Retrievers are 15-1 this season when entering a game favored by -163 or more on the moneyline.
• UMBC has a 62% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• Vermont has been victorious in one of the five contests it has been chosen as a moneyline underdog in this season.
• This season, the Catamounts have been a moneyline underdog of -163 or more four times, losing every contest.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies Vermont has a 43.1% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.