UMBC vs. UMass-Lowell Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - America East Tournament

The No. 1 seed UMBC Retrievers (22-8, 14-2 America East) are favored by 8.5 points in the America East Tournament over the No. 4 seed UMass-Lowell River Hawks (15-17, 9-7 America East). The teams will hit the court Tuesday at 6 p.m. ET live on ESPN+, with the winner moving closer to a guaranteed spot in the NCAA Tournament bracket. The matchup has an over/under set at 145.5 points.

UMBC heads into this matchup following an 84-69 victory against New Hampshire on Saturday. Anthony Valentine's team-leading 23 points led UMBC in the win. UMass-Lowell's most recent outing on Saturday ended in an 81-76 victory over Albany (NY). Angel Montas scored a team-best 28 points for UMass-Lowell in the victory.

UMBC vs. UMass-Lowell Odds and Game Time

• When: Tuesday, March 10, 2026 at 6 p.m. ET
• Where: Chesapeake Employers Insurance Arena in Baltimore, Maryland
• Spread favorite: UMBC -8.5
• Moneyline favorite: UMBC -418
• Moneyline underdog: UMass-Lowell +313
• Over/Under: 145.5 points

How to watch UMBC vs. UMass-Lowell

• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: UMBC vs. UMass-Lowell

• UMBC and its opponents have hit the over on this game's total (145.5 points) 11 times this season.
• In UMass-Lowell's 29 games this season, 14 finished with more combined points than Tuesday's over/under of 145.5.
• The point total for the matchup of 145.5 is 5.4 points fewer than the combined points per game averages for the Retrievers (75.8) and River Hawks (75.1).
• The 143 points per game these two teams surrender to opponents on average this season are 2.5 fewer than the 145.5 total in this contest.
• On average, the over/under in UMBC's games is 2.5 fewer points than the over/under of 145.5 in this contest.
• The over/under for this game is 5.4 points lower than the average over/under in UMass-Lowell's games this season (150.9 points).

Betting the Spread: UMBC vs. UMass-Lowell

• UMBC is 17-11-0 against the spread this season.
• The Retrievers have been favored by 8.5 points or more five times this season and are 5-0 ATS in those games.
• Against the spread, UMass-Lowell is 16-13-0 this season.
• This season, the River Hawks have an ATS record of 5-4 in their nine games as an underdog of 8.5 points or more.
• UMBC is 10-2 overall, and 7-6 against the spread, at home.
• This season, as a 8.5-point favorite or more at home, UMBC is 3-0 ATS.
• UMass-Lowell is 5-13 overall, and 9-9 against the spread, on the road.

Betting the Moneyline: UMBC vs. UMass-Lowell

• This season, UMBC has won 17 out of the 19 games, or 89.5%, in which it has been the moneyline favorite.
• The Retrievers have entered five games this season favored by -418 or more, and won each of those games.
• The oddsmakers' moneyline implies a 80.7% chance of a victory for UMBC.
• UMass-Lowell has been chosen as moneyline underdogs in 18 games this year and has walked away with the win four times (22.2%) in those games.
• The River Hawks have yet to win this season when listed as an underdog of +313 or worse on the moneyline this season.
• UMass-Lowell has an implied victory probability of 24.2% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.