UCSD vs. CSU Northridge Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Big West Tournament

The No. 5 seed UCSD Tritons (23-10, 12-8 Big West) are 1.5-point favorites in the Big West Tournament when they square off against the No. 4 seed CSU Northridge Matadors (19-13, 12-8 Big West) on Thursday at Lee's Family Forum, tipping off at 9 p.m. ET on ESPN+. Both teams hope to move one step closer to an automatic berth in the NCAA Tournament bracket. The matchup has an over/under set at 153.5 points.

UCSD is coming off of a 72-69 win against Cal Poly in its most recent outing on Wednesday. Hudson Mayes scored a team-best 23 points for UCSD in the victory. CSU Northridge heads into this contest on the heels of a 90-77 loss to CSU Fullerton on Saturday. Josiah Davis' team-leading 21 points paced CSU Northridge in the loss.

UCSD vs. CSU Northridge Odds and Game Time

• When: Thursday, March 12, 2026 at 9 p.m. ET
• Where: Lee's Family Forum in Henderson, Nevada
• Spread favorite: UCSD -1.5
• Moneyline favorite: UCSD -130
• Moneyline underdog: CSU Northridge +107
• Over/Under: 153.5 points

How to watch UCSD vs. CSU Northridge

• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: UCSD vs. CSU Northridge

• This season, UCSD's games have gone over this matchup's 153.5-point over/under 11 times.
• In CSU Northridge's 30 games this season, 22 finished with more combined points than Thursday's over/under of 153.5.
• The total for the matchup of 153.5 is 3.8 points fewer than the combined points per game averages for the Tritons (75.8) and Matadors (81.5).
• The 149.7 points per game these two teams surrender to opponents on average this season are 3.8 fewer than the 153.5 total in this contest.
• On average, the over/under in UCSD's games is 7.7 fewer points than the over/under of 153.5 in this contest.
• The over/under for this matchup is 7.7 points lower than the average over/under in CSU Northridge's games this season of 161.2.

Betting the Spread: UCSD vs. CSU Northridge

• UCSD has 16 wins against the spread in 31 games this season.
• This season, the Tritons have an ATS record of 11-14 in their 25 games as a favorite of 1.5 points or more.
• CSU Northridge has played 30 games, with 14 wins against the spread.
• This season, the Matadors have an against-the-spread record of 8-8 in their 16 games as an underdog of 1.5 points or more.
• CSU Northridge is 9-4 against the spread, and 10-3 overall, at home.
• CSU Northridge is 5-4 ATS as a 1.5-point underdog or more at home.
• UCSD is 8-5 overall, and 7-6 against the spread, away from home.
• UCSD is 3-5 ATS as 1.5-point favorites or more away from home.

Betting the Moneyline: UCSD vs. CSU Northridge

• This season, UCSD has won 17 out of the 25 games, or 68%, in which it has been the moneyline favorite.
• This season, the Tritons have won 14 of their 22 games, or 63.6%, when favored by at least -130 on the moneyline.
• The implied probability of a win from UCSD, based on the moneyline, is 56.5%.
• CSU Northridge has won in seven, or 43.8%, of the 16 contests it has been named as the moneyline underdog this year.
• The Matadors have a win-loss record of 6-8 with odds of +107 or worse this year.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies CSU Northridge has a 48.3% chance of walking away with the win.