UCSB vs. UC Davis Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Big West Tournament

The No. 7 seed UCSB Gauchos (18-13, 11-9 Big West) are 4.5-point favorites to win and move closer to a guaranteed berth in the NCAA Tournament bracket against the No. 6 seed UC Davis Aggies (18-13, 11-9 Big West) in the Big West Tournament Wednesday at Lee's Family Forum, tipping off at 11:30 p.m. ET on ESPN+. The matchup's over/under is set at 140.5.

UCSB lost its most recent outing 64-63 against UCSD on Saturday. In UCSB's loss, Colin Smith led the way with a team-high 13 points (adding five rebounds and one assist). UC Davis lost its last outing 79-69 in OT against UC Irvine on Saturday. UC Davis got a team-leading 20 points from Niko Rocak in the loss.

UCSB vs. UC Davis Odds and Game Time

• When: Wednesday, March 11, 2026 at 11:30 p.m. ET
• Where: Lee's Family Forum in Henderson, Nevada
• Spread favorite: UCSB -4.5
• Moneyline favorite: UCSB -209
• Moneyline underdog: UC Davis +169
• Over/Under: 140.5 points

How to watch UCSB vs. UC Davis

• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: UCSB vs. UC Davis

• UCSB and its opponents have combined to outscore Wednesday's total (140.5 points) 20 times this season.
• This season, 23 of UC Davis' games have finished with a combined score higher than 140.5 points.
• Together, the two teams combine for 155.5 points per game, 15.0 points more than the point total of 140.5 for this contest.
• These two teams give up a combined 147.4 points per game, 6.9 more than this contest's over/under.
• This season, the average over/under for UCSB's games is 150.3 points, 9.8 more than the total of 140.5 points set for this contest.
• A difference of 12.3 points separates the average over/under in UC Davis' games (152.8 points) and this matchup's over/under (140.5).

Betting the Spread: UCSB vs. UC Davis

• In UCSB's 29 games this year, it has 12 wins against the spread.
• This season, the Gauchos have an ATS record of 7-10 in their 17 games as a favorite of 4.5 points or more.
• UC Davis has played 29 games, with 17 wins against the spread.
• The Aggies are 4-4 ATS when underdogs by 4.5 points or more this year.
• At home this season, UC Davis is 9-5 against the spread and 10-4 overall.
• At home, as a 4.5-point underdog or greater, UC Davis is 3-3 ATS.
• On the road, UCSB is 3-10 against the spread, and 5-8 overall.
• On the road, UCSB has one win ATS (1-6) as 4.5-point favorites or more.

Betting the Moneyline: UCSB vs. UC Davis

• This season, UCSB has been moneyline favorites 21 times and won 13, or 61.9%, of those games.
• The Gauchos are 11-2 this season when entering a game favored by -209 or more on the moneyline.
• The bookmakers' moneyline implies a 67.6% chance of a victory for UCSB.
• UC Davis has been chosen as moneyline underdogs in 16 games this year and has walked away with the win five times (31.2%) in those games.
• The Aggies have a mark of 2-5 in contests where sportsbooks give them odds of +169 or worse on the moneyline.
• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that UC Davis has a 37.2% chance of pulling out a win.