UConn vs. Xavier Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Big East Tournament

The No. 2 seed UConn Huskies (27-4, 17-3 Big East) are 15.5-point favorites in the Big East Tournament over the No. 10 seed Xavier Musketeers (15-17, 6-14 Big East) on Thursday at Madison Square Garden. The matchup begins at 7 p.m. ET and airs on Fox Sports 1, with the winner moving one step closer to securing a guaranteed spot in the NCAA Tournament bracket. The matchup's point total is set at 151.5.

In its most recent game on Saturday, UConn suffered a 68-62 loss to Marquette. Silas Demary Jr. scored a team-best 17 points for UConn in the loss. In its most recent game on Wednesday, Xavier earned an 89-87 win over Marquette. Jovan Milicevic's team-high 21 points paced Xavier in the win.

UConn vs. Xavier Odds and Game Time

• When: Thursday, March 12, 2026 at 7 p.m. ET
• Where: Madison Square Garden in New York City, New York
• Spread favorite: UConn -15.5
• Moneyline favorite: UConn -1370
• Moneyline underdog: Xavier +772
• Over/Under: 151.5 points

How to watch UConn vs. Xavier

• TV Channel: Fox Sports 1
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: UConn vs. Xavier

• UConn and its opponents have hit the over on this game's total (151.5 points) nine times this season.
• This season, 24 games Xavier has played finished with a combined score over 151.5 points.
• The total for the game of 151.5 is 5.4 points fewer than the combined points per game averages for the Huskies (78.2) and Musketeers (78.7).
• These two teams surrender a combined 145.6 points per game, 5.9 points less than this contest's over/under.
• UConn has seen a 143.4 average over/under in its games this season, 8.1 less than the over/under in this matchup.
• Xavier's games have an average over/under of 158.9 points this season, 7.4 more points than the over/under for this game.

Betting the Spread: UConn vs. Xavier

• UConn has 10 wins against the spread in 31 games this season.
• So far this season, the Huskies have been installed as favorites by a 15.5-point margin or more 12 times and are 3-9 ATS in those games.
• Xavier has 17 wins against the spread in 32 games this season.
• The Musketeers have been underdogs by 15.5 points or more three times this year and covered the spread once.
• UConn is 4-13 against the spread, and 15-2 overall, at home.
• UConn is 3-9 ATS as a 15.5-point favorite or greater at home.
• Away from home, Xavier is 1-10 overall and 4-7 against the spread.

Betting the Moneyline: UConn vs. Xavier

• This season, UConn has won 24 out of the 28 games, or 85.7%, in which it has been the moneyline favorite.
• The Huskies have a record of 9-1, a 90% win rate, when favored by -1370 or more by oddsmakers this season.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 93.2% chance of a victory for UConn.
• Xavier has been chosen as moneyline underdogs in 20 games this year and has walked away with the win five times (25%) in those games.
• This season, the Musketeers have been a moneyline underdog of -1370 or more three times, losing every contest.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies Xavier has an 11.5% chance of walking away with the win.