Toledo vs. Bowling Green Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - MAC Tournament

The No. 4 seed Toledo Rockets (17-14, 11-7 MAC) are favored by 1.5 points in the MAC Tournament against the No. 5 seed Bowling Green Falcons (18-13, 9-9 MAC) on Thursday at Rocket Arena, tipping off at 1:30 p.m. ET on ESPN+. The matchup's point total is set at 152.5.

Toledo is coming off of a 98-78 victory over Buffalo in its last game on Friday. Sonny Wilson totaled 24 points, four rebounds and four assists for Toledo. Bowling Green is coming off of a 77-69 win over Eastern Michigan in its most recent outing on Friday. Javontae Campbell scored a team-best 22 points for Bowling Green in the victory.

Toledo vs. Bowling Green Odds and Game Time

• When: Thursday, March 12, 2026 at 1:30 p.m. ET
• Where: Rocket Arena in Cleveland, Ohio
• Spread favorite: Toledo -1.5
• Moneyline favorite: Toledo -129
• Moneyline underdog: Bowling Green +106
• Over/Under: 152.5 points

How to watch Toledo vs. Bowling Green

• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Toledo vs. Bowling Green

• Toledo and its opponents have hit the over on this game's total (152.5 points) 16 times this season.
• In Bowling Green's 28 games this season, 10 finished with more combined points than Thursday's point total of 152.5.
• Together, the two teams combine for 162.9 points per game, 10.4 points more than the over/under of 152.5 for this game.
• These two teams surrender a combined 148.2 points per game, 4.3 points less than this contest's over/under.
• On average, Toledo has had a 158.2-point over/under in its games this season, 5.7 more points than the over/under in this contest.
• The over/under for this game is 0.4 points lower than the average over/under in Bowling Green's games this season of 152.9.

Betting the Spread: Toledo vs. Bowling Green

• Toledo has 16 wins against the spread in 29 games this season.
• The Rockets have an ATS record of 7-9 in their 16 games as a favorite of 1.5 points or more so far this season.
• Bowling Green is 12-16-0 against the spread this year.
• This year, the Falcons have just two against the spread wins in seven games as an underdog of 1.5 points or more.
• At home this season, Toledo is 9-4 overall and 6-7 against the spread.
• As a 1.5-point favorite or greater at home, Toledo is 5-6 ATS.
• Bowling Green is 6-6 overall, and 6-6 against the spread, away from home.
• This year, as 1.5-point underdogs or more away from home, Bowling Green is 4-3 ATS.

Betting the Moneyline: Toledo vs. Bowling Green

• Toledo has entered the game as moneyline favorites 16 times this season and won 11, or 68.8%, of those games.
• The Rockets have a record of 10-2, a 83.3% win rate, when favored by -129 or more by sportsbooks this season.
• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that Toledo has a 56.3% chance to win.
• Bowling Green has won in one of the seven contests it has been named as the moneyline underdog this year.
• This year, the Falcons have won one of six games when listed as at least +106 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies Bowling Green has a 48.5% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.