Texas Tech vs. Alabama Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Second Round
21 March 2026

A spot in the Sweet 16 of the NCAA Tournament Midwest Region bracket is on the line when the No. 5 seed Texas Tech Red Raiders (23-10) meet the No. 4 seed Alabama Crimson Tide (24-9) on Sunday at 9:45 p.m. ET on TBS. Texas Tech has been installed as a 1.5-point favorite to win this second round matchup. The matchup's over/under is set at 164.5.
Last time out, Texas Tech won on Friday 91-71 over Akron. In Texas Tech's win, Jaylen Petty led the way with a team-high 24 points (adding three rebounds and four assists). Alabama enters this contest following a 90-70 win against Hofstra on Friday. Labaron Philon's team-leading 29 points paced Alabama in the win.
Texas Tech vs. Alabama Odds and Game Time
- When: Sunday, March 22, 2026 at 9:45 p.m. ET
- Where: Benchmark International Arena in Tampa, Florida
- Spread favorite: Texas Tech -1.5
- Moneyline favorite: Texas Tech -113
- Moneyline underdog: Alabama -109
- Over/Under: 164.5 points
How to watch Texas Tech vs. Alabama
Betting the Over/Under: Texas Tech vs. Alabama
- Texas Tech and its opponents have hit the over on this game's total (164.5 points) nine times this season.
- This season, 23 of Alabama's games have finished with a combined score higher than 164.5 points.
- The total for the matchup of 164.5 is 7.9 points fewer than the combined points per game averages for the Red Raiders (80.7 points per game) and the Crimson Tide (91.7 points per game).
- These two teams surrender a combined 155.7 points per game, 8.8 less than this contest's over/under.
- This season the average over/under for Texas Tech's games is 153.3 points, 11.2 lower than the over/under of 164.5 points set for this contest.
- The over/under for this game is 10.2 points lower than the average over/under in Alabama's games this season (174.7 points).
Betting the Spread: Texas Tech vs. Alabama
- Texas Tech is 17-16-0 against the spread this year.
- So far this season, the Red Raiders have been installed as favorites by a 1.5-point margin or more 24 times and are 12-12 ATS in those matchups.
- In Alabama's 33 games this year, it has 15 wins against the spread.
- So far this year, the Crimson Tide have been installed as underdogs by a 1.5-point margin or more eight times and are 4-4 ATS in those contests.
- Alabama is 6-9 against the spread, and 12-3 overall, at home.
- At home, as a 1.5-point underdog or more, Alabama is 6-9 ATS.
- Texas Tech is 5-5 overall, and 5-5 against the spread, away from home.
- Away from home, Texas Tech has two wins ATS (2-3) as 1.5-point favorites or more.
Betting the Moneyline: Texas Tech vs. Alabama
- This season, Texas Tech has won 19 out of the 24 games, or 79.2%, in which it has been the moneyline favorite.
- The Red Raiders have entered 24 games this season favored by -113 or more and are 19-5 in those contests.
- Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that Texas Tech has a 53.1% chance to win.
- Alabama has been victorious in four of the eight contests it has been chosen as a moneyline underdog in this season.
- The Crimson Tide have a mark of 4-4 in contests where oddsmakers give them odds of -109 or worse on the moneyline.
- Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that Alabama has a 52.2% chance of pulling out a win.
