Texas State vs. South Alabama Dunkel NCAA Football Picks, Predictions and Odds - Nov. 29

The Texas State Bobcats (5-6), who have college football's 16th-ranked running game, square off against the South Alabama Jaguars (4-7) and their 23rd-ranked rushing attack on Saturday, November 29, 2025. The Bobcats are 9-point favorites.

Last time around, the Bobcats defeated the Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks, with 31-14 being the final score.

The Jaguars beat the Southern Miss Golden Eagles, 42-35, in their last game.

Texas State vs. South Alabama Predictions

Ahead of the upcoming game between the Texas State Bobcats and South Alabama Jaguars, computer-calculated against-the-spread, over/under, and score predictions are below, sourced from Dunkel Index.

• Pick ATS: Bobcats (- 9)
• Pick OU: Under (62.5)
  
• Prediction: Bobcats 37 - Jaguars 20

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Texas State vs. South Alabama Moneylines

Take a peek below at the most recent moneylines for the Bobcats-Jaguars matchup.

• Texas State Moneyline: -337
• South Alabama Moneyline: +269

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Texas State Betting Insights

• Texas State has been favored on the moneyline seven total times this season. It has gone 3-4 in those games.
• Texas State has a record of 3-1 in games it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -337 or shorter (75%).
• In six of 11 games this season, the Bobcats and their opponents have combined to score more than 62.5 points.
• The Bobcats have an average point total of 60.5 in their outings this year, 2.0 fewer points than this game's over/under.
• The Bobcats score the 21st-most points in college football this season, while the Jaguars' offense racks up the 77th-most.

South Alabama Betting Insights

• South Alabama has entered the game as an underdog four times this season and won once.
• South Alabama has been at least a +269 moneyline underdog three times this season, but lost all of those games.
• South Alabama has combined with its opponents to score more than 62.5 points in three of 11 games this season.
• South Alabama's games this season have had an average of 53.6 points, 8.9 fewer points than this game's point total.

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Key Stats for Texas State vs. South Alabama

• In their past four head-to-head meetings, Texas State has taken down South Alabama three times.
• The last four times the Bobcats have matched up against the Jaguars, they have posted a 3-1 record against the spread. The scoring went over the total each time.
• The Bobcats rank 104th in total defense this year (401.8 yards allowed per game), but they've been thriving on offense, ranking 13th-best in the FBS with 469.6 total yards per game.
• Texas State owns the 20th-best offense this season in terms of points scored (34.9 points per game), but ranks 22nd-worst on defense (31 points allowed per game).
• The Jaguars are putting up 383.9 total yards per contest on offense this season (72nd-ranked). Meanwhile, they are giving up 365.5 total yards per game (64th-ranked).
• South Alabama is generating 26.5 points per game on offense this season (76th-ranked). Meanwhile, it is allowing 28.7 points per game (94th-ranked) on defense.