Texas vs. Ole Miss Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - SEC Tournament

The No. 10 seed Texas Longhorns (18-13, 9-9 SEC) and the No. 15 seed Ole Miss Rebels (12-19, 4-14 SEC) will look to advance in the SEC tournament on Wednesday as they meet in the conference tournament at 7 p.m. ET on SEC Network. Texas is listed as a 6.5-point favorite to win this contest and advance closer to an automatic spot in the NCAA Tournament bracket. The over/under is 145.5 in the matchup.

Texas is coming off of an 88-85 OT loss to Oklahoma in its last game on Saturday. In Texas' loss, Jordan Pope led the way with a team-high 30 points (adding six rebounds and two assists). Ole Miss heads into this game on the heels of a 64-61 loss to South Carolina on Saturday. Malik Dia scored a team-leading 22 points for Ole Miss in the loss.

Texas vs. Ole Miss Odds and Game Time

• When: Wednesday, March 11, 2026 at 7 p.m. ET
• Where: Bridgestone Arena in Nashville, Tennessee
• Spread favorite: Texas -6.5
• Moneyline favorite: Texas -258
• Moneyline underdog: Ole Miss +204
• Over/Under: 145.5 points

How to watch Texas vs. Ole Miss

• TV Channel: SEC Network
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Texas vs. Ole Miss

• This season, Texas' games have seen a combined score higher than this matchup's 145.5-point over/under 26 times.
• There have been 17 Ole Miss games that finished with a combined score higher than 145.5 points this season.
• The total for the game of 145.5 is 14.2 points fewer than the combined points per game averages for the Longhorns (84.4) and Rebels (75.3).
• This game's point total is 7.2 fewer points than the 152.7 these two teams combine to give up per game in 2024.
• Texas has seen a 161.2 average over/under in its games this season, 15.7 points more than the over/under in this contest.
• The over/under for this game is 5.7 points lower than the average over/under in Ole Miss' games this season (151.2 points).

Betting the Spread: Texas vs. Ole Miss

• In Texas' 31 games this season, it has 17 wins against the spread.
• The Longhorns have an against the spread record of 7-7 in their 14 games when favored by 6.5 points or more so far this season.
• Ole Miss has played 31 games, with 11 wins against the spread.
• The Rebels are 7-6 ATS when underdogs by 6.5 points or more this year.
• Texas is 8-9 against the spread, and 12-5 overall, at home.
• This year, as a 6.5-point favorite or greater at home, Texas is 6-6 ATS.
• In away games, Ole Miss is 7-3 against the spread, and 3-7 overall.

Betting the Moneyline: Texas vs. Ole Miss

• Texas has been the moneyline favorite in 15 games this season and won 10 (66.7%) of those contests.
• The Longhorns have a record of 8-3, a 72.7% win rate, when favored by -258 or more by sportsbooks this season.
• The implied probability of a win from Texas, based on the moneyline, is 72.1%.
• Ole Miss has been victorious in three, or 17.6%, of the 17 contests it has been chosen as a moneyline underdog in this season.
• This season, the Rebels have come away with a win two times in 13 chances when named as an underdog of at least +204 or longer on the moneyline.
• Ole Miss has an implied victory probability of 32.9% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.