Tennessee State vs. Morehead State Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - OVC Tournament

The No. 2 seed Morehead State Eagles (20-12, 15-5 OVC) are 4.5-point underdogs in the OVC championship game, as bookmakers think the No. 1 Tennessee State Tigers (22-9, 15-5 OVC) will claim the automatic berth in the NCAA Tournament bracket. The title game tips off Saturday at 9 p.m. ET, live on ESPN2. The over/under is 145.5 for the matchup.

Last time out, Tennessee State won on Friday 68-55 against UT Martin. Aaron Nkrumah recorded 19 points, five rebounds and four assists for Tennessee State. Morehead State won its last matchup 66-61 against Southeast Missouri State on Friday. Anouar Mellouk totaled 22 points, seven rebounds and zero assists for Morehead State.

Tennessee State vs. Morehead State Odds and Game Time

• When: Saturday, March 7, 2026 at 9 p.m. ET
• Where: Ford Center in Evansville, Indiana
• Spread favorite: Tennessee State -4.5
• Moneyline favorite: Tennessee State -211
• Moneyline underdog: Morehead State +173
• Over/Under: 145.5 points

How to watch Tennessee State vs. Morehead State

• TV Channel: ESPN2
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Tennessee State vs. Morehead State

• This season, Tennessee State and its opponents have combined to outscore Saturday's total of 145.5 points 15 times.
• This season, 11 of Morehead State's games have ended with a combined score higher than 145.5 points.
• The over/under for the game of 145.5 is 10.1 points fewer than the combined points per game averages for the Tigers (80.1 points per game) and the Eagles (75.5 points per game).
• This game's over/under is 2.2 fewer points than the 147.7 these two teams combine to allow per game in 2024.
• Tennessee State has seen a 153.7 average over/under in its games this season, 8.2 points more than the over/under in this matchup.
• Morehead State's games have an average over/under of 149.7 points this season, 4.2 more points than the over/under for this contest.

Betting the Spread: Tennessee State vs. Morehead State

• In Tennessee State's 28 games this season, it has 17 wins against the spread.
• So far this season, the Tigers have been installed as favorites by a 4.5-point margin or more 10 times and are 4-6 ATS in those games.
• Morehead State is 18-11-0 against the spread this season.
• The Eagles have an against the spread record of 6-6 in their 12 games when underdogs by 4.5 points or more this season.
• At home this year, Tennessee State is 5-5 against the spread and 8-2 overall.
• This season, as a 4.5-point favorite or greater at home, Tennessee State is 3-4 ATS.
• In away games, Morehead State is 7-10 overall and 10-7 against the spread.
• On the road, Morehead State is unbeaten ATS (1-0) as 4.5-point underdogs or more.

Betting the Moneyline: Tennessee State vs. Morehead State

• This season, Tennessee State has been moneyline favorites 16 times and won 12, or 75%, of those games.
• The Tigers are 7-1 this season when entering a game favored by -211 or more on the moneyline.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 67.8% chance of a victory for Tennessee State.
• Morehead State has been victorious in eight, or 42.1%, of the 19 contests it has been chosen as a moneyline underdog in this season.
• This season, the Eagles have come away with a win three times in 12 chances when named as an underdog of at least +173 or longer on the moneyline.
• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that Morehead State has a 36.6% chance of pulling out a win.