Tarleton State vs. Abilene Christian Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - WAC Tournament

The No. 7 seed Tarleton State Texans (14-17, 5-13 WAC) are 1.5-point favorites in the WAC Tournament over the No. 6 seed Abilene Christian Wildcats (13-18, 5-13 WAC) on Wednesday at Orleans Arena. The matchup starts at 8:30 p.m. ET and airs on ESPN+, with both teams hoping to move one step closer to an automatic berth in the NCAA Tournament bracket. The matchup has an over/under set at 137 points.

Their last time out, Tarleton State lost 65-60 to UT Arlington on Thursday. Dior Johnson's team-high 28 points paced Tarleton State in the loss. Abilene Christian's last game on Saturday ended in a 64-57 loss to UT Arlington. Bradyn Hubbard scored a team-leading 16 points for Abilene Christian in the loss.

Tarleton State vs. Abilene Christian Odds and Game Time

• When: Wednesday, March 11, 2026 at 8:30 p.m. ET
• Where: Orleans Arena in Paradise, Nevada
• Spread favorite: Tarleton State -1.5
• Moneyline favorite: Tarleton State -138
• Moneyline underdog: Abilene Christian +113
• Over/Under: 137 points

How to watch Tarleton State vs. Abilene Christian

• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Tarleton State vs. Abilene Christian

• Tarleton State and its opponents have combined to outscore Wednesday's over/under (137 points) 17 times this season.
• A total of 16 of Abilene Christian's games have ended with a combined score higher than 137 points this season.
• Together, the two teams combine for 144.2 points per game, 7.2 points more than the over/under of 137 for this matchup.
• These two teams surrender a combined 145.1 points per game, 8.1 more than this contest's over/under.
• Tarleton State has seen a 147.5 average over/under in its games this season, 10.5 points more than the over/under in this contest.
• Abilene Christian's games have an average over/under of 141.7 points this season, 4.7 more points than the over/under for this game.

Betting the Spread: Tarleton State vs. Abilene Christian

• Against the spread, Tarleton State is 14-13-0 this year.
• The Texans have an against the spread record of 7-6 in their 13 games when favored by 1.5 points or more so far this season.
• Abilene Christian has 12 wins against the spread in 28 games this year.
• The Wildcats have an ATS record of 8-8 in their 16 games when underdogs by 1.5 points or more this year.
• Abilene Christian is 4-7 against the spread, and 6-5 overall, at home this season.
• Abilene Christian has two wins ATS (2-6) as a 1.5-point underdog or greater at home.
• In away games, Tarleton State is 4-11 overall and 9-6 against the spread.
• Away from home, Tarleton State has two wins ATS (2-1) as 1.5-point favorites or more.

Betting the Moneyline: Tarleton State vs. Abilene Christian

• Tarleton State has entered the game as moneyline favorites 13 times this season and won eight, or 61.5%, of those games.
• The Texans are 5-2 this season when entering a game favored by -138 or more on the moneyline.
• The bookmakers' moneyline implies a 58% chance of a victory for Tarleton State.
• Abilene Christian has been a moneyline underdog in 16 games this season and has come away with the win four times (25%) in those contests.
• The Wildcats have a mark of 2-9 in contests where oddsmakers give them odds of +113 or worse on the moneyline.
• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that Abilene Christian has a 46.9% chance of pulling out a win.