Rays vs. Marlins Dunkel MLB Picks, Predictions and Prop Bets - May 16

The Tampa Bay Rays and Miami Marlins meet on Saturday at 4:10 p.m. ET, at Tropicana Field. Nick Martinez (4-1, 1.70 ERA) gets the start for the Rays, who are 29-14 this season and first in the AL East. Sandy Alcantara (3-2, 3.90 ERA) is the expected starter for the Marlins, who are 20-25 and fourth in the NL East.

Sportsbooks have made the Rays a decent moneyline favorite (-142) at home over the Marlins (+120). The total for this contest is set at 7.5.

Rays vs. Marlins Odds, Game Time

• Game day: Saturday, May 16, 2026
• Game time: 4:10 p.m. ET
• Location: St. Petersburg, Florida
• Stadium: Tropicana Field
• Favorite: Rays (-142)
• Underdog: Marlins (+120)
• Over/under: 7.5

How to Watch Rays vs. Marlins

• TV Channel: RAYS and MIAM
• Live Stream: Fubo (Watch for free)

Bet now on FanDuel Sportsbook!

Rays vs. Marlins: Betting the Moneyline

• The Rays have won 77.3% of the games this season when they were favored on the moneyline (17-5).
• Miami has been victorious in four, or 22.2%, of the 18 contests it has been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• Tampa Bay has played as favorites of -142 or more twice this season and won both games.
• The Marlins have a mark of 4-6 in contests where sportsbooks favor them by +120 or worse on the moneyline.
• The implied moneyline probablility for this matchup gives the Rays a 58.7% chance to win.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Marlins have a 45.5% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Rays vs. Marlins: Betting the Spread & Total

• The Rays have played in 43 games with set over/under, and have combined with opponents to go over the total 21 times (21-19-3).
• Miami's games have gone over the total in 26 of its 45 chances.
• The Rays have gone 26-17-0 against the spread this season.
• In 45 games with a line this season, the Marlins have a mark of 19-26-0 against the spread.