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Stars vs. Oilers NHL Predictions, Picks and Odds - March 12

12 March 2026 By Data Skrive

The Dallas Stars and Edmonton Oilers -- both coming off victories in their last game -- will face each other on Thursday at 8 p.m. ET, at American Airlines Center in Dallas. Stars (-125) versus Oilers (+105) has a definite favorite, according to the moneyline odds.

Dallas won 2-1 at home its last time out on March 10 against the Vegas Golden Knights. Six Stars skaters had one point each, including Matt Duchene (one assist) and Oskar Back (one goal).

In its most recent game on March 10, Edmonton secured a 4-3 road victory over the Colorado Avalanche. The Oilers got two points apiece out of four skaters in that matchup, including Leon Draisaitl (two assists) and Ryan Nugent-Hopkins (two goals).

Before this matchup, here's who we expect to secure the win in Thursday's hockey game.

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Stars vs. Oilers Predictions & Pick

For the upcoming contest between the Dallas Stars and Edmonton Oilers, computer-calculated moneyline, over/under, and score predictions are below, based on data from Dunkel Index.

  • Prediction: Oilers 4 - Stars 3
  • Pick OU: Over 6.5 (Dunkel projecting 6.94 goals)

Pick with the best in the business! Get free picks for every game, every week at the Dunkel Index.

Stars vs. Oilers Moneylines

Take a peek below at the most up-to-date moneylines for the Stars-Oilers matchup.

  • Favorite: Stars (-125)
  • Underdog: Oilers (+105)

Stars Betting Insights

  • The Stars are 31-18 when favored on the moneyline this season.
  • When playing with moneyline odds of -125 or shorter, Dallas is 28-17 (winning 62.2% of the time).
  • The implied moneyline probability in this game says the Stars have a 55.6% chance to win.
  • Dallas and its opponent have gone over 6.5 combined goals in 31 of 64 games this season.

Oilers Betting Insights

  • The Oilers have been listed as an underdog 10 times this season, and won four of those games.
  • Edmonton has gone 2-5 when it's been set as an underdog of +105 or more by bookmakers this season.
  • The sportsbooks' moneyline implies a 48.8% chance of victory for the Oilers.
  • Edmonton's games this season have had over 6.5 goals 40 of 65 times.

Stars Key Stats

  • Dallas' 218 total goals (3.4 per game) rank seventh in the league.
  • The Stars have conceded 170 total goals (2.7 per game), the second-fewest in league play.
  • Its goal differential (+48) makes the team second-best in the league.
  • The 57 power-play goals the Stars have recorded this season (second-most in the NHL) have come on 192 power-play chances.
  • Dallas has the league's second-best power-play conversion rate (29.69%).
  • The three shorthanded goals the Stars have scored this season rank 23rd among NHL teams.
  • Dallas kills 80.51% of opponent power plays, the 12th-ranked penalty-kill percentage in the league.
  • Dallas wins 52.3% of its faceoffs to rank fifth in the NHL.
  • The Stars shoot 13.2% as a team (second in the league).

Oilers Key Stats

  • Edmonton is second in the league in scoring (231 goals, 3.6 per game).
  • The Oilers' total of 218 goals given up (3.4 per game) is 28th in the NHL.
  • Its +13 goal differential ranks 11th in the league.
  • With 59 power-play goals, the Oilers lead the NHL (on 178 power-play chances).
  • Edmonton scores on 33.15% of its power plays, No. 1 in the NHL.
  • The Oilers have five shorthanded goals (12th in NHL).
  • The 77.78% penalty-kill percentage of Edmonton is 24th in the league.
  • At 52.9%, Edmonton has the NHL's fourth-best faceoff win rate.
  • With a shooting percentage of 12%, the Oilers are sixth in the league.

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