Stars vs. Maple Leafs NHL Predictions, Picks and Odds - April 13

The Dallas Stars and Toronto Maple Leafs are coming off a victory and a defeat, respectively, heading into their meeting at Scotiabank Arena on Monday at 7:30 p.m. ET. The oddsmakers have made the Stars big favorites at -192 on the moneyline, despite being away from home, and the Maple Leafs are at +160.

Dallas secured a 2-0 victory at home its last time out on April 11 against the New York Rangers. The Stars got two points each out of Matt Duchene (two assists) and Jason Robertson (two goals).

Toronto played at home in its last game on April 11, and fell 6-2 against the Florida Panthers. William Nylander's two points (two goals) in that outing led the Maple Leafs.

Get ready for this matchup by checking out our pick for who will emerge with the victory in Monday's hockey action.

Stars vs. Maple Leafs Predictions & Pick

For insights on the upcoming game between the Dallas Stars and Toronto Maple Leafs, computer-derived moneyline, over/under, and score predictions are below, based on data from Dunkel Index.

• Prediction: Stars 6 - Maple Leafs 1
• Pick OU: Over 6.5 (Dunkel projecting 6.98 goals)
  

Pick with the best in the business! Get free picks for every game, every week at the Dunkel Index.

Stars vs. Maple Leafs Moneylines

Grab a look below at the most recent moneylines for the Stars-Maple Leafs matchup.

• Favorite: Stars (-192)
• Underdog: Maple Leafs (+160)

Stars Betting Insights

• In the 61 times this season the Stars have been favored on the moneyline, they have finished 37-24 in those games.
• In games it has played with moneyline odds of -192 or shorter, Dallas has compiled an 11-3 record (winning 78.6% of its games).
• Based on this game's moneyline, the Stars have an implied probability of 65.8% to win.
• In 37 games this season, Dallas and its opponent have combined for more than 6.5 goals.

Maple Leafs Betting Insights

• This season the Maple Leafs have won 15 of the 44 games, or 34.1%, in which they've been an underdog.
• Toronto has a record of 6-8 in games when oddsmakers have them as underdogs of at least +160 on the moneyline.
• The implied probability of a win by the Maple Leafs, based on the moneyline, is 38.5%.
• Toronto has combined with its opponent to score over 6.5 goals in 45 of 79 games this season.

Stars Key Stats

• Dallas' 264 total goals (3.3 per game) make it the ninth-highest scoring team in the league.
• The Stars have allowed 214 total goals (2.7 per game), ranking second in NHL play for the fewest goals against.
• Its goal differential (+50) makes the team fourth-best in the league.
• The 69 power-play goals the Stars have recorded this season (on 242 power-play chances) lead the NHL.
• Dallas is second in the league with a 28.51% power-play conversion rate.
• The Stars have capitalized with four shorthanded goals this season (26th among NHL teams).
• Dallas has the league's 12th-ranked penalty-kill percentage (80.33%).
• Dallas has the seventh-best faceoff win rate in the NHL, at 51.6%.
• The Stars' 13.1% shooting percentage tops the league.

Maple Leafs Key Stats

• With 246 goals (3.1 per game), Toronto has the league's 16th-ranked offense.
• The Maple Leafs give up 3.6 goals per game (286 in total), 31st in the league.
• it has the 28th-ranked goal differential in the league at -40.
• The Maple Leafs have 41 power-play goals (on 194 chances), 24th in the NHL.
• Toronto has the league's 15th-ranked power-play percentage (21.13%).
• The Maple Leafs have six shorthanded goals (15th in league).
• At 82.06%, Toronto has the fourth-best penalty-kill percentage in the league.
• Toronto is the league leader in faceoff win rate (54.5%).
• The 11.7% shooting percentage of the Maple Leafs is eighth in the league.