St. Thomas vs. North Dakota Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Summit League Tournament
07 March 2026

The No. 2 seed Saint Thomas Tommies (24-8, 12-4 Summit League) are 12.5-point favorites in the Summit League Tournament against the No. 3 seed North Dakota Fightin' Hawks (17-16, 10-6 Summit League) on Saturday at Denny Sanford Premier Center. The contest starts at 10:30 p.m. ET and airs on CBS Sports Network, with the winner moving one step closer to securing a guaranteed spot in the NCAA Tournament bracket. The over/under for the matchup is set at 154.5.
In its most recent game on Thursday, St. Thomas secured an 80-67 victory against South Dakota State. Ben Oosterbaan recorded 23 points, four rebounds and two assists for St. Thomas. In its most recent outing on Friday, North Dakota secured an 83-67 victory against Denver. Greyson Uelmen scored 41 points in North Dakota's victory, leading the team.
St. Thomas vs. North Dakota Odds and Game Time
- When: Saturday, March 7, 2026 at 10:30 p.m. ET
- Where: Denny Sanford Premier Center in Sioux Falls, South Dakota
- Spread favorite: St. Thomas -12.5
- Moneyline favorite: St. Thomas -699
- Moneyline underdog: North Dakota +500
- Over/Under: 154.5 points
How to watch St. Thomas vs. North Dakota
- TV Channel: CBS Sports Network
- Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!
Betting the Over/Under: St. Thomas vs. North Dakota
- This season, St. Thomas' games have gone over this game's 154.5-point total 15 times.
- In North Dakota's 30 games this season, 13 finished with more combined points than Saturday's over/under of 154.5.
- Together, the two teams combine for 160.5 points per game, 6.0 points more than the over/under of 154.5 for this game.
- These two teams surrender a combined 149.6 points per game, 4.9 points less than this contest's over/under.
- St. Thomas has seen a 155.0 average over/under in its games this season, 0.5 points more than the over/under in this matchup.
- North Dakota's games have an average over/under of 155.2 points this season, 0.7 more points than the over/under for this matchup.
Betting the Spread: St. Thomas vs. North Dakota
- St. Thomas has played 29 games, with 15 wins against the spread.
- This season, the Tommies have an against-the-spread record of 4-3 in their seven games as a favorite of 12.5 points or more.
- North Dakota is 18-12-0 against the spread this season.
- The Fightin' Hawks are 4-1 ATS when underdogs by 12.5 points or more this year.
- At home this year, St. Thomas is 11-1 overall and 6-6 against the spread.
- At home, St. Thomas is 3-3 ATS as a 12.5-point favorite or more.
- On the road, North Dakota is 7-8 overall and 10-5 against the spread.
Betting the Moneyline: St. Thomas vs. North Dakota
- This season, St. Thomas has been moneyline favorites 24 times and won 20, or 83.3%, of those games.
- The Tommies are 8-2 this season when entering a game favored by -699 or more on the moneyline.
- The implied probability of a win from St. Thomas, based on the moneyline, is 87.5%.
- North Dakota has been victorious in nine, or 42.9%, of the 21 contests it has been chosen as a moneyline underdog in this season.
- This season, the Fightin' Hawks have come away with a win two times in six chances when named as an underdog of at least +500 or longer on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies North Dakota has a 16.7% chance of walking away with the win.
