St. John's vs. Providence Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Big East Tournament

The No. 1 seed St. John's Red Storm (25-6, 18-2 Big East) are favored by 11.5 points in the Big East Tournament when they square off the No. 9 seed Providence Friars (15-17, 7-13 Big East) Thursday at Madison Square Garden, beginning at 12 p.m. ET on Peacock. The winner moves one game closer to claiming a guaranteed place in the NCAA Tournament bracket. The matchup has a point total of 159.5.

Their last time out, St. John's won on Friday 72-65 over Seton Hall. Zuby Ejiofor totaled 21 points, two rebounds and one assist for St. John's. In its last matchup on Wednesday, Providence secured a 91-81 victory against Butler. Stefan Vaaks scored a team-high 28 points for Providence in the win.

St. John's vs. Providence Odds and Game Time

• When: Thursday, March 12, 2026 at 12 p.m. ET
• Where: Madison Square Garden in New York City, New York
• Spread favorite: St. John's -11.5
• Moneyline favorite: St. John's -599
• Moneyline underdog: Providence +417
• Over/Under: 159.5 points

How to watch St. John's vs. Providence

• TV Channel: Peacock
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: St. John's vs. Providence

• St. John's and its opponents have combined to go over Thursday's total of 159.5 points 11 times this season.
• In Providence's 32 games this season, 22 finished with more combined points than Thursday's over/under of 159.5.
• The over/under for the game of 159.5 is 8.1 points fewer than the combined points per game averages for the Red Storm (81.9) and Friars (85.7).
• The 154.5 points per game these two teams allow to opponents on average this season are 5.0 fewer than the 159.5 total in this contest.
• On average, the over/under in St. John's games is 7.1 fewer points than the over/under of 159.5 in this matchup.
• Providence's games have an average over/under of 169.7 points this season, 10.2 more points than the over/under for this game.

Betting the Spread: St. John's vs. Providence

• St. John's has played 31 games, with 17 wins against the spread.
• The Red Storm have an ATS record of 6-8 in their 14 games when favored by 11.5 points or more so far this season.
• Providence has played 32 games, with 18 wins against the spread.
• The Friars have been underdogs by 11.5 points or more three times this season and have covered the spread twice.
• At home this season, St. John's is 8-9 against the spread and 15-2 overall.
• At home, St. John's is 6-8 ATS as a 11.5-point favorite or more.
• In away games, Providence is 3-8 overall and 7-4 against the spread.

Betting the Moneyline: St. John's vs. Providence

• This season, St. John's has been moneyline favorites 27 times and won 24, or 88.9%, of those games.
• The Red Storm have a record of 13-1 in games where bookmakers favor them by at least -599 on the moneyline.
• The implied probability of a win from St. John's, based on the moneyline, is 85.7%.
• Providence has been victorious in four, or 25%, of the 16 contests it has been chosen as a moneyline underdog in this season.
• This season, the Friars have been victorious one time in three chances when named as an underdog of at least +417 or longer on the moneyline.
• Providence has an implied victory probability of 19.3% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.