South Florida vs. Charlotte Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - AAC Tournament

The No. 1 seed South Florida Bulls (23-8, 15-3 AAC) are favored by 14.5 points in the AAC Tournament against the No. 5 seed Charlotte 49ers (17-16, 9-9 AAC) on Saturday at Legacy Arena at BJCC, beginning at 3 p.m. ET on ESPN2. The matchup has a point total of 152.5.

South Florida is coming off of an 83-60 win over Charlotte in its last outing on Sunday. Joseph Pinion totaled 22 points, three rebounds and four assists for South Florida. Charlotte is coming off of an 83-78 win over UAB in its last game on Friday. Dezayne Mingo totaled 35 points, four rebounds and six assists for Charlotte.

South Florida vs. Charlotte Odds and Game Time

• When: Saturday, March 14, 2026 at 3 p.m. ET
• Where: Legacy Arena at BJCC in Birmingham, Alabama
• Spread favorite: South Florida -14.5
• Moneyline favorite: South Florida -1613
• Moneyline underdog: Charlotte +878
• Over/Under: 152.5 points

How to watch South Florida vs. Charlotte

• TV Channel: ESPN2
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: South Florida vs. Charlotte

• South Florida and its opponents have combined to hit the over on Saturday's total of 152.5 points 20 times this season.
• This season, 12 of Charlotte's games have finished with a combined score higher than 152.5 points.
• The over/under for the game of 152.5 is 9.5 points fewer than the combined points per game averages for the Bulls (88.4 points per game) and the 49ers (73.6 points per game).
• These two teams give up a combined 150.6 points per game, 1.9 less than this contest's over/under.
• South Florida has seen a 164.9 average over/under in its games this season, 12.4 points more than the over/under in this matchup.
• Charlotte's games have an average over/under of 147.6 points this season, 4.9 points lower than the over/under for this matchup.

Betting the Spread: South Florida vs. Charlotte

• South Florida has played 30 games, with 16 wins against the spread.
• The Bulls have an against the spread record of 5-2 in their seven games when favored by 14.5 points or more so far this season.
• Charlotte is 18-14-0 against the spread this season.
• The 49ers have covered the spread once this season when underdogs by 14.5 points or more (in two chances).
• South Florida is 9-5 against the spread, and 12-2 overall, at home this season.
• This season, as a 14.5-point favorite or greater at home, South Florida is 5-2 ATS.
• Away from home, Charlotte is 6-6 against the spread, and 4-8 overall.

Betting the Moneyline: South Florida vs. Charlotte

• South Florida has won 21, or 80.8%, of the 26 games it has played as the moneyline favorite this season.
• The Bulls have entered six games this season favored by -1613 or more, and won each of those games.
• South Florida has a 94.2% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• Charlotte has been a moneyline underdog in 19 games this season and has come away with the win six times (31.6%) in those contests.
• The 49ers have been listed as an underdog of +878 or more on two occasions this season and lost both games.
• Charlotte has an implied victory probability of 10.2% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.