Siena vs. Fairfield Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - MAAC Tournament

The No. 3 seed Siena Saints (21-11, 13-7 MAAC) are favored by 1.5 points when they face off the No. 7 seed Fairfield Stags (21-12, 11-9 MAAC) in the MAAC Tournament Sunday at Jim Whelan Boardwalk Hall, tipping off at 8:30 p.m. ET on ESPN+. A guaranteed spot in the NCAA Tournament bracket is on the line as these teams look to claim the MAAC championship. The matchup has an over/under set at 137.5 points.

Siena heads into this game following a 63-58 victory against Mount St. Mary's on Saturday. In Siena's win, Gavin Doty led the way with a team-high 17 points (adding four rebounds and one assist). Fairfield is coming off of a 74-55 victory against Saint Peter's in its most recent game on Friday. Brandon Benjamin's team-high 26 points paced Fairfield in the victory.

Siena vs. Fairfield Odds and Game Time

• When: Sunday, March 8, 2026 at 8:30 p.m. ET
• Where: Jim Whelan Boardwalk Hall in Atlantic City, New Jersey
• Spread favorite: Siena -1.5
• Moneyline favorite: Siena -128
• Moneyline underdog: Fairfield +104
• Over/Under: 137.5 points

How to watch Siena vs. Fairfield

• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Siena vs. Fairfield

• This season, Siena's games have gone over this game's 137.5-point total 14 times.
• In Fairfield's 32 games this season, 19 finished with more combined points than Sunday's point total of 137.5.
• Together, the two teams combine for 145.4 points per game, 7.9 points more than the over/under of 137.5 for this contest.
• This matchup's over/under is 0.1 less than the 137.6 points these two teams combine to give up per game.
• On average, the over/under in Siena's games is 0.7 fewer points than the over/under of 137.5 in this matchup.
• The over/under for this matchup is 8.7 points lower than the average over/under in Fairfield's games this season of 146.2.

Betting the Spread: Siena vs. Fairfield

• In Siena's 32 games this season, it has 18 wins against the spread.
• The Saints have been favored by 1.5 points or more 26 times this season and are 15-11 ATS in those matchups.
• Fairfield is 15-17-0 against the spread this year.
• The Stags have an against the spread record of 8-7 in their 15 games when underdogs by 1.5 points or more this year.
• At home this season, Siena is 9-4 overall and 7-6 against the spread.
• At home, as a 1.5-point favorite or greater, Siena is 7-6 ATS.
• Away from home, Fairfield is 7-8 overall and 8-7 against the spread.
• As 1.5-point underdogs or more on the road, Fairfield is 3-2 ATS.

Betting the Moneyline: Siena vs. Fairfield

• Siena has won 20, or 74.1%, of the 27 games it has played as the moneyline favorite this season.
• The Saints are 19-4 this season when entering a game favored by -128 or more on the moneyline.
• Siena has a 56.1% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• Fairfield has been chosen as moneyline underdogs in 15 games this year and has walked away with the win seven times (46.7%) in those games.
• This season, the Stags have come away with a win five times in 13 chances when named as an underdog of at least +104 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies Fairfield has a 49% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.