SFA vs. Texas A&M-CC Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Southland Tournament

The top-seeded Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks (27-4, 20-2 Southland) are 7.5-point favorites in the Southland Tournament against the No. 4 seed Texas A&M-CC Islanders (18-14, 13-9 Southland) on Tuesday at The Legacy Center. The matchup starts at 7 p.m. ET and airs on ESPNU, with the winner moving one step closer to securing a guaranteed spot in the NCAA Tournament bracket. The matchup has an over/under of 134.5 points.

SFA heads into this matchup on the heels of a 76-68 win over Incarnate Word on Monday. Lateef Patrick recorded 28 points, five rebounds and one assist for SFA. Texas A&M-CC heads into this contest on the heels of a 74-61 win against New Orleans on Monday. In Texas A&M-CC's win, Daniel Michelini-Jackson led the team with 28 points (adding eight rebounds and one assist).

SFA vs. Texas A&M-CC Odds and Game Time

• When: Tuesday, March 10, 2026 at 7 p.m. ET
• Where: The Legacy Center in Lake Charles, Louisiana
• Spread favorite: SFA -7.5
• Moneyline favorite: SFA -331
• Moneyline underdog: Texas A&M-CC +258
• Over/Under: 134.5 points

How to watch SFA vs. Texas A&M-CC

• TV Channel: ESPNU
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: SFA vs. Texas A&M-CC

• SFA and its opponents have combined to go over Tuesday's total of 134.5 points 19 times this season.
• A total of 17 of Texas A&M-CC's games have ended with a combined score higher than 134.5 points this season.
• The Lumberjacks average 77.5 points per game against the Islanders' 73, amounting to 16.0 points over the contest's point total of 134.5.
• The 133.8 points per game these two teams allow to opponents on average this season are 0.7 fewer than the 134.5 over/under in this contest.
• SFA has a 143.3 average over/under in its games this season, 8.8 more points than the over/under in this contest.
• Texas A&M-CC's games have an average over/under of 140.9 points this season, 6.4 more points than the over/under for this game.

Betting the Spread: SFA vs. Texas A&M-CC

• SFA is 22-7-0 against the spread this season.
• The Lumberjacks are 8-4 ATS when favored by 7.5 points or more this season.
• Texas A&M-CC has 14 wins against the spread in 27 games this season.
• The Islanders have been underdogs by 7.5 points or more six times this year and have covered the spread twice.
• At home this season, SFA is 13-1 overall and 10-4 against the spread.
• SFA is 5-4 ATS as a 7.5-point favorite or greater at home.
• On the road, Texas A&M-CC is 9-7 against the spread, and 7-9 overall.

Betting the Moneyline: SFA vs. Texas A&M-CC

• This season, SFA has been moneyline favorites 23 times and won 21, or 91.3%, of those games.
• The Lumberjacks have a record of 11-1, a 91.7% win rate, when favored by -331 or more by sportsbooks this season.
• SFA has a 76.8% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• Texas A&M-CC has come away with three wins in the 12 contests it has been listed as the moneyline underdog this season.
• The Islanders have won all of their six games in which they were named as at least a +258 moneyline underdog.
• Texas A&M-CC has an implied victory probability of 27.9% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.