Senators vs. Islanders NHL Predictions, Picks and Odds - March 19

The Ottawa Senators and New York Islanders -- the former coming off a defeat, the latter a victory -- will meet on Thursday at 7 p.m. ET, at Canadian Tire Centre in Ottawa. The Islanders are underdogs on the road, at +114, and the Senators are -135.

Ottawa suffered a 4-1 loss on the road its last time out on March 18 against the Washington Capitals. The Senators got one point apiece out of three players, including Claude Giroux (one assist) and Thomas Chabot (one assist).

New York won on the road in its last game on March 17, 3-1 over the Toronto Maple Leafs. Mathew Barzal's three points (three assists) in that outing led the Islanders.

To prepare for this matchup, here's who we predict to take home the victory in Thursday's hockey action.

Senators vs. Islanders Predictions & Pick

For predictions on the upcoming game between the Ottawa Senators and New York Islanders, computer-derived moneyline, over/under, and score predictions are below, sourced from Dunkel Index.

• Prediction: Senators 3 - Islanders 2
• Pick OU: Under 5.5 (Dunkel projecting 5.04 goals)
  

Pick with the best in the business! Get free picks for every game, every week at the Dunkel Index.

Senators vs. Islanders Moneylines

Snag a look below at the most recent moneylines for the Senators-Islanders matchup.

• Favorite: Senators (-135)
• Underdog: Islanders (+114)

Senators Betting Insights

• The Senators have won 56.2% of their games when they've been a moneyline favorite this season (27-21).
• Ottawa is 18-12 (victorious in 60.0% of its games) when it has played with moneyline odds of -135 or shorter.
• The Senators have a 57.4% chance (based on the moneyline's implied probability) to win this matchup.
• Ottawa's games this season have gone over this matchup's total of 5.5 goals 37 times.

Islanders Betting Insights

• This season the Islanders have won 25 of the 41 games, or 61.0%, in which they've been an underdog.
• New York has a record of 16-4, an 80.0% win rate, when it's been set as an underdog of +114 or more by bookmakers this season.
• The implied probability of a win by the Islanders, based on the moneyline, is 46.7%.
• New York has combined with its opponent to score over 5.5 goals in 34 of 68 games this season.

Senators Key Stats

• Ottawa has scored the 10th-most goals in the NHL (223 total, 3.3 per game).
• The Senators rank 19th in goals against, allowing 209 total goals (3.1 per game) in NHL play.
• Its goal differential (+14) ranks 11th in the league.
• The 50 power-play goals the Senators have recorded this season (on 216 power-play chances) are the fourth-most in the NHL.
• Ottawa is ninth in the league with a 23.15% power-play conversion rate.
• The Senators have scored five shorthanded goals this season (13th among NHL squads).
• Ottawa's 73.71% penalty-kill success rate ranks 30th in the league.
• Ottawa has the second-best faceoff win rate in the NHL, at 54.5%.
• The Senators have an 11.5% shooting percentage as a team, which ranks ninth in the league.

Islanders Key Stats

• New York's 196 goals on the season (2.9 per game) rank 21st in the league.
• The Islanders' total of 187 goals given up (2.8 per game) is fourth in the NHL.
• Its +9 goal differential ranks 15th in the league.
• The Islanders have 33 power-play goals (25th in NHL) on 201 chances.
• New York's power-play percentage (16.42) puts the team 29th in the league.
• The Islanders have nine shorthanded goals (third in league).
• The 82.07% penalty-kill percentage of New York is seventh in the league.
• New York is sixth in faceoff win rate in the NHL (52.1%).
• The 10.3% shooting percentage of the Islanders is 27th in the league.