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Mariners vs. Royals Dunkel MLB Picks, Predictions and Prop Bets - May 3

03 May 2026 By Data Skrive

The Kansas City Royals will look to finish off a sweep of a three-game series versus the Seattle Mariners, at 4:10 p.m. ET on Sunday. Luis Castillo (0-2, 6.35 ERA) gets the start for the Mariners, who are 16-18 this season and third in the AL West. Kris Bubic (2-1, 3.74 ERA) is expected to start for the Royals, who are 14-19 and fourth in the AL Central.

The Mariners (-140) are moneyline favorites at home over the Royals (+118). The game has an over/under of 8 runs.

Mariners vs. Royals Odds, Game Time

  • Game day: Sunday, May 3, 2026
  • Game time: 4:10 p.m. ET
  • Location: Seattle, Washington
  • Stadium: T-Mobile Park
  • Favorite: Mariners (-140)
  • Underdog: Royals (+118)
  • Over/under: 8

How to Watch Mariners vs. Royals

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Mariners vs. Royals: Betting the Moneyline

  • The Mariners have compiled a 15-15 record in games they were favored on the moneyline (winning 50% of those games).
  • Kansas City has won in five, or 29.4%, of the 17 contests it has been named as odds-on underdogs in this year.
  • Seattle is 10-8 this season when entering a game favored by -140 or more on the moneyline.
  • The Royals have a mark of 1-5 in contests where sportsbooks favor them by +118 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Mariners have a 58.3% chance to win this matchup based on the moneyline's implied probability.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Royals have a 45.9% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Mariners vs. Royals: Betting the Spread & Total

  • The Mariners have had an over/under set by oddsmakers 34 times, and have combined with opponents to go over the total in 16 of those games (16-17-1).
  • Kansas City and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 14 of its 33 opportunities.
  • The Mariners have a 12-22-0 record against the spread this season (covering only 35.3% of the time).
  • The Royals are 14-19-0 against the spread in their 33 games that had a posted line this season.
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