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Mariners vs. Braves Dunkel MLB Picks, Predictions and Prop Bets - May 4

04 May 2026 By Data Skrive

The Seattle Mariners will try to stop a three-game losing streak when hosting the Atlanta Braves at 9:40 p.m. ET on Monday. Logan Gilbert (1-3, 4.03 ERA) will start for the Mariners, who are 16-19 this season and third in the AL West. JR Ritchie (1-0, 2.92 ERA) is expected to start for the Braves, who are 25-10 and first in the NL East.

The Braves (+121) are on the road versus the favored Mariners (-145). The game has an over/under of 7.5 runs.

Mariners vs. Braves Odds, Game Time

  • Game day: Monday, May 4, 2026
  • Game time: 9:40 p.m. ET
  • Location: Seattle, Washington
  • Stadium: T-Mobile Park
  • Favorite: Mariners (-145)
  • Underdog: Braves (+121)
  • Over/under: 7.5

How to Watch Mariners vs. Braves

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Mariners vs. Braves: Betting the Moneyline

  • The Mariners have won 15 of the 31 games they were listed as the moneyline favorite this season (48.4%).
  • Atlanta has been underdogs in four games this season and has come away with the win two times (50%) in those contests.
  • This season Seattle has won eight of its 13 games, or 61.5%, when favored by at least -145 on the moneyline.
  • The Braves have played as an underdog of +121 or more just one time this year and came away with a win in that game.
  • Based on this matchup's moneyline, the Mariners have an implied win probability of 59.2%.
  • The Braves have an implied victory probability of 45.2% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.

Mariners vs. Braves: Betting the Spread & Total

  • The Mariners have combined with opponents to hit the over on the total 16 times this season for a 16-18-1 record against the over/under.
  • Games involving Atlanta have gone over the total set by bookmakers in 16 of 35 chances this season.
  • The Mariners have covered only 34.3% of their games this season, going 12-23-0 ATS.
  • The Braves are 24-11-0 against the spread in their 35 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
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