Santa Clara vs. Sacramento State Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Nov. 7

The Santa Clara Broncos (2-0) play the Sacramento State Hornets (1-0) as 19.5-point favorites on Saturday, November 7, 2026 at 10 p.m. ET on ESPN+. The matchup's point total is set at 166.5.

In its most recent game on Wednesday, Santa Clara claimed a 95-72 victory over Milwaukee. Jake Ensminger put up 15 points, seven rebounds and four assists for Santa Clara. In its last outing on Monday, Sacramento State earned a 90-74 victory over William Jessup. Larry Hughes Jr.'s team-leading 24 points paced Sacramento State in the win.

Santa Clara vs. Sacramento State Odds and Game Time

• When: Saturday, November 7, 2026 at 10 p.m. ET
• Where: Leavey Center in Santa Clara, California
• Spread favorite: Santa Clara -19.5
• Moneyline favorite: Santa Clara -4348
• Moneyline underdog: Sacramento State +1488
• Over/Under: 166.5 points

How to watch Santa Clara vs. Sacramento State

• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Santa Clara vs. Sacramento State

• Santa Clara and its opponent combined to score over 166.5 points, the current matchup's over/under, in 11 of 34 games last year.
• Last season, nine of Sacramento State's 29 matchups went over 166.5 total points scored.
• The Broncos and the Hornets combined to average 5.9 fewer points per game a season ago than the over/under of 166.5 set for this matchup.
• The Broncos and the Hornets saw their opponents average a combined 11.6 fewer points per game last season than the point total of 166.5 set in this game.
• The average total Santa Clara had set in games last year was 10.7 fewer points than this outing's point total.
• The average over/under in Sacramento State's games in 2025 was 6.8 fewer points than the point total of 166.5 in this game.

Betting the Spread: Santa Clara vs. Sacramento State

• Santa Clara put together an 18-16-0 record against the spread last season.
• The Broncos covered the spread once last season (1-2 ATS) when playing as at least 19.5-point favorites.
• Sacramento State won 12 games against the spread last season, while failing to cover 17 times.
• The Hornets covered the spread once last season (1-2 ATS) when playing as at least 19.5-point underdogs.
• Santa Clara was 13-1 overall, and 9-5 against the spread, at home last year.
• At home last year, as a 19.5-point favorite or greater, Santa Clara had one win ATS (1-2).
• Sacramento State was 0-16 overall, and 4-12 against the spread, on the road last season.

Betting the Moneyline: Santa Clara vs. Sacramento State

• Santa Clara won 23 of the 26 games it was listed as the moneyline favorite last season (88.5%).
• The Broncos played as a moneyline favorite of -4348 or shorter in just one game last season, which they won.
• Santa Clara has a 97.8% chance to win this matchup based on the moneyline's implied probability.
• Sacramento State was underdogs in 25 games last season and won four (16%) of those contests.
• Last season, the Hornets were at least a +1488 underdog on the moneyline three times, losing each of those contests.
• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that Sacramento State has a 6.3% chance to win.