Padres vs. Marlins Dunkel MLB Picks, Predictions and Prop Bets - Sept. 18

The San Diego Padres and Miami Marlins square off in the first of a three-game series on Friday at Petco Park, at 9:40 p.m. ET. Nick Pivetta (2-2, 3.60 ERA) gets the start for the Padres, who are 84-69 this season and second in the NL West. Tyler Phillips (5-6, 3.55 ERA) is the expected starter for the Marlins, who are 76-77 and third in the NL East.

The Marlins (+170) take their show on the road to face the favored Padres (-209). The contest has a total set at 7.5.

Padres vs. Marlins Odds, Game Time

• Game day: Friday, September 18, 2026
• Game time: 9:40 p.m. ET
• Location: San Diego, California
• Stadium: Petco Park
• Favorite: Padres (-209)
• Underdog: Marlins (+170)
• Over/under: 7.5

How to Watch Padres vs. Marlins

• TV Channel: SDPA and MIAM
• Live Stream: Fubo (Watch for free)

Bet now on FanDuel Sportsbook!

Padres vs. Marlins: Betting the Moneyline

• The Padres have won 46 of the 76 games they were the moneyline favorite this season (60.5%).
• Miami has come away with 35 wins in the 86 contests it has been listed as the underdogs in this season.
• San Diego has entered three games this season favored by -209 or more, and won each of those games.
• This season, the Marlins have come away with a win three times in six chances when named as an underdog of at least +170 or longer on the moneyline.
• Based on this game's moneyline, the Padres' implied win probability is 67.6%.
• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Marlins have a 37% chance of pulling out a win.

Padres vs. Marlins: Betting the Spread & Total

• In the 153 games in which oddsmakers have set an over/under for the Padres, they have combined with opponents to go over the total 71 times (71-77-5).
• Games involving Miami have gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 77 of 153 chances this season.
• The Padres have collected an 86-67-0 record against the spread this season (covering 56.2% of the time).
• In 153 games with a line this season, the Marlins have a mark of 77-76-0 against the spread.