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Padres vs. Cubs Game 1 of the NL Wild Card Series Dunkel MLB Picks, Predictions and Props - Sept. 29

29 September 2026 By Data Skrive

The San Diego Padres take on the Chicago Cubs to start the NL Wild Card Series at Petco Park, Tuesday at 10 p.m. ET. Michael King (12-10, 3.21 ERA) gets the start for the Padres, and Matthew Boyd (10-5, 3.91 ERA) is starting for the Cubs.

Sportsbooks have made the Padres a decent moneyline favorite (-128) at home over the Cubs (+106). The total for the Padres-Cubs game is set at 7.5.

Padres vs. Cubs Odds, Game Time

  • Game day: Tuesday, September 29, 2026
  • Game time: 10 p.m. ET
  • Location: San Diego, California
  • Stadium: Petco Park
  • Favorite: Padres (-128)
  • Underdog: Cubs (+106)
  • Over/under: 7.5

How to Watch Padres vs. Cubs

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Padres vs. Cubs: Betting the Moneyline

  • The Padres have gone 50-31 in games they were favored on the moneyline (winning 61.7% of those games).
  • Chicago has been underdogs in 46 games this season and has come away with the win 24 times (52.2%) in those contests.
  • San Diego is 35-20 this season when entering a game favored by -128 or more on the moneyline.
  • This season, the Cubs have been victorious 10 times in 19 chances when named as an underdog of at least +106 or longer on the moneyline.
  • The Padres have a 56.1% chance to win this contest based on the moneyline's implied probability.
  • The Cubs have an implied victory probability of 48.5% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.

Padres vs. Cubs: Betting the Spread & Total

  • The Padres have had an over/under set by bookmakers 162 times, and have combined with opponents to go over the total in 77 of those games (77-80-5).
  • Chicago and its opponents have hit the over in 90 of its 162 games with a total this season.
  • The Padres have a 92-70-0 record ATS this season (covering 56.8% of the time).
  • The Cubs have posted a record of 75-87-0 against the spread this season.
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