Sam Houston vs. New Mexico State Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - CUSA Tournament

The No. 2 seed Sam Houston Bearkats (21-10, 13-7 CUSA) are favored by 5.5 points when they meet the No. 10 seed New Mexico State Aggies (16-15, 8-12 CUSA) in CUSA Tournament. The teams will look to take another step toward an automatic berth in the NCAA Tournament bracket on Wednesday at Von Braun Center starting at 9 p.m. ET and airing on ESPN+. The matchup has an over/under set at 153.5 points.

Sam Houston fell in its most recent outing 79-72 against Liberty on Saturday. In Sam Houston's loss, Veljko Ilic led the way with a team-high 21 points (adding five rebounds and zero assists). In its most recent outing on Tuesday, New Mexico State secured a 68-63 win over Jacksonville State. Jemel Jones put up 17 points, three rebounds and three assists for New Mexico State.

Sam Houston vs. New Mexico State Odds and Game Time

• When: Wednesday, March 11, 2026 at 9 p.m. ET
• Where: Von Braun Center in Huntsville, Alabama
• Spread favorite: Sam Houston -5.5
• Moneyline favorite: Sam Houston -225
• Moneyline underdog: New Mexico State +182
• Over/Under: 153.5 points

How to watch Sam Houston vs. New Mexico State

• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Sam Houston vs. New Mexico State

• This season, Sam Houston's games have seen a combined score higher than this matchup's 153.5-point over/under 16 times.
• A total of 10 of New Mexico State's games have finished with a combined score over 153.5 points this season.
• Together, the two teams combine for 158.5 points per game, five points more than the total of 153.5 for this contest.
• This matchup's over/under is seven fewer points than the 146.5 these two teams combine to allow per game in 2024.
• Sam Houston has seen a 157.4 average over/under in its games this season, 3.9 points more than the over/under in this contest.
• The over/under for this game is 5.9 points more than the average over/under in New Mexico State's games this season (147.6 points).

Betting the Spread: Sam Houston vs. New Mexico State

• Against the spread, Sam Houston is 19-9-0 this season.
• The Bearkats have been favored by 5.5 points or more nine times this season and are 5-4 ATS in those games.
• In New Mexico State's 28 games this year, it has 14 wins against the spread.
• The Aggies have been underdogs by 5.5 points or more two times this year and have covered the spread every time.
• Sam Houston is 7-4 against the spread, and 10-1 overall, at home this year.
• At home, Sam Houston is 4-3 ATS as a 5.5-point favorite or more.
• On the road, New Mexico State is 3-8 overall and 5-6 against the spread.

Betting the Moneyline: Sam Houston vs. New Mexico State

• Sam Houston has won 12, or 85.7%, of the 14 games it has played as the moneyline favorite this season.
• This season, the Bearkats have won nine of their 10 games, or 90%, when favored by at least -225 on the moneyline.
• The oddsmakers' moneyline implies a 69.2% chance of a victory for Sam Houston.
• New Mexico State has been chosen as moneyline underdogs in 12 games this year and has walked away with the win four times (33.3%) in those games.
• This season, the Aggies have been a moneyline underdog of -225 or more three times, losing every contest.
• New Mexico State has an implied victory probability of 35.5% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.