Saint Mary's (CA) vs. Santa Clara Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - WCC Tournament

The No. 2 seed Saint Mary's Gaels (27-4, 16-2 WCC) are favored by 4.5 points in the WCC Tournament against the No. 3 seed Santa Clara Broncos (25-7, 15-3 WCC) on Monday at Orleans Arena, beginning at 11:30 p.m. ET on ESPN2. The matchup's over/under is set at 148.5.

Saint Mary's (CA) is coming off of a 70-59 victory against Gonzaga in its last game on Saturday. Mikey Lewis' team-leading 31 points led Saint Mary's (CA) in the win. Santa Clara's last outing on Sunday ended in a 76-68 win over Pacific. Allen Graves' team-leading 19 points paced Santa Clara in the win.

Saint Mary's (CA) vs. Santa Clara Odds and Game Time

• When: Monday, March 9, 2026 at 11:30 p.m. ET
• Where: Orleans Arena in Paradise, Nevada
• Spread favorite: Saint Mary's (CA) -4.5
• Moneyline favorite: Saint Mary's (CA) -204
• Moneyline underdog: Santa Clara +164
• Over/Under: 148.5 points

How to watch Saint Mary's (CA) vs. Santa Clara

• TV Channel: ESPN2
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Saint Mary's (CA) vs. Santa Clara

• A total of 11 of Saint Mary's (CA)'s games this season have gone over Monday's total of 148.5 points.
• In Santa Clara's 31 games this season, 22 finished with more combined points than Monday's point total of 148.5.
• The total for the matchup of 148.5 is 13.4 points fewer than the combined points per game averages for the Gaels (78.4) and Broncos (83.5).
• These two teams give up a combined 136.5 points per game, 12.0 points less than this contest's over/under.
• Saint Mary's (CA) has seen a 142.6 average over/under in its games this season, 5.9 less than the over/under in this contest.
• Santa Clara's games have an average over/under of 155.8 points this season, 7.3 more points than the over/under for this game.

Betting the Spread: Saint Mary's (CA) vs. Santa Clara

• Saint Mary's (CA) has played 29 games, with 17 wins against the spread.
• So far this season, the Gaels have been installed as favorites by a 4.5-point margin or more 24 times and are 15-9 ATS in those contests.
• Against the spread, Santa Clara is 17-14-0 this year.
• The Broncos have covered the spread once this season when underdogs by 4.5 points or more (in three chances).
• Saint Mary's (CA) is 15-0 overall, and 11-4 against the spread, at home.
• As a 4.5-point favorite or more at home, Saint Mary's (CA) is 10-4 ATS.
• In away games, Santa Clara is 8-3 overall and 6-5 against the spread.
• This year, as 4.5-point underdogs or more on the road, Santa Clara is 4-3 ATS.

Betting the Moneyline: Saint Mary's (CA) vs. Santa Clara

• This season, Saint Mary's (CA) has won 24 out of the 25 games, or 96%, in which it has been the moneyline favorite.
• The Gaels have entered 24 games this season favored by -204 or more, and won each of those games.
• Saint Mary's (CA) has a 67.1% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• Santa Clara has been a moneyline underdog in five games this season and has come away with the win one time (20%) in those contests.
• This season, the Broncos have been a moneyline underdog of -204 or more three times, losing every contest.
• Santa Clara has an implied victory probability of 37.9% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.