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Rangers vs. Maple Leafs NHL Predictions, Picks and Odds - March 25

25 March 2026 By Data Skrive

The New York Rangers (28-34-9) visit the Toronto Maple Leafs (30-29-13) on Wednesday, March 25, with the Rangers coming off a loss in their last game and the Maple Leafs a victory. Rangers (-130) at Maple Leafs (+110) has a clear favorite, according to the moneyline odds.

New York was handed a 2-1 defeat at home its last time out on March 23 against the Ottawa Senators. Conor Sheary (one goal) and Tye Kartye (one assist) were among the three Rangers players who put up one point each.

Toronto won on the road in its last game on March 24, 4-2 over the Boston Bruins. John Tavares had three points (three assists) in that outing for the Maple Leafs.

Here is our pick for who will clinch the victory in Wednesday's matchup.

Bet now on FanDuel Sportsbook!

Rangers vs. Maple Leafs Predictions & Pick

Ahead of the upcoming contest between the New York Rangers and Toronto Maple Leafs, computer-calculated moneyline, over/under, and score predictions are below, sourced from Dunkel Index.

  • Prediction: Rangers 4 - Maple Leafs 3
  • Pick OU: Over 6.5 (Dunkel projecting 6.91 goals)

Pick with the best in the business! Get free picks for every game, every week at the Dunkel Index.

Rangers vs. Maple Leafs Moneylines

Take a peek below at the most recent moneylines for the Rangers-Maple Leafs game.

  • Favorite: Rangers (-130)
  • Underdog: Maple Leafs (+110)

Rangers Betting Insights

  • The Rangers have been victorious in 13 of their 26 games when they were listed as a moneyline favorite this season (50.0%).
  • When it has played with moneyline odds of -130 or shorter, New York is 9-8 (winning 52.9% of the time).
  • The implied moneyline probability for this game says the Rangers have a 56.5% chance to win.
  • New York and its opponent have combined to score more than 6.5 goals in 28 of 71 games this season.

Maple Leafs Betting Insights

  • The Maple Leafs have been an underdog in 38 games this season, and won 13 (34.2%).
  • Toronto is 11-21 this season when entering a game as the underdog by +110 or more on the moneyline.
  • The oddsmakers' moneyline implies a 47.6% chance of victory for the Maple Leafs.
  • Toronto has played 40 games this season with over 6.5 goals.

Rangers Key Stats

  • New York's 196 total goals (2.8 per game) make it the 25th-ranked scoring team in the league.
  • The Rangers rank 24th in goals against, allowing 225 total goals (3.2 per game) in league action.
  • It has the league's 27th-ranked goal differential at -29.
  • The 43 power-play goals the Rangers have put up this season rank 15th in the NHL (on 181 power-play chances).
  • New York's 23.76% power-play conversion rate is the seventh-best in the league.
  • The five shorthanded goals the Rangers have scored this season rank 17th among NHL squads.
  • New York's 77.88% penalty-kill success rate ranks 23rd in the league.
  • New York wins the third-highest percentage of faceoffs in the NHL, 54.3%.
  • The Rangers make 11.1% of their shots (13th in the league).

Maple Leafs Key Stats

  • Toronto's 224 goals on the season (3.1 per game) rank 15th in the NHL.
  • The Maple Leafs' total of 248 goals given up (3.4 per game) is 30th in the league.
  • Its -24 goal differential ranks 24th in the league.
  • The Maple Leafs have 34 power-play goals (on 174 chances), 28th in the NHL.
  • Toronto has the league's 20th-ranked power-play percentage (19.54%).
  • In terms of shorthanded goals, the Maple Leafs have five.
  • At 82.65%, Toronto has the fifth-best penalty-kill percentage in the league.
  • At 55.1%, Toronto has the NHL's best faceoff win percentage.
  • The 11.5% shooting percentage of the Maple Leafs is ninth in the league.

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